Molio and Word Whether or not you believe me is up to you, I don't care either way. But just to explain where my data comes from.
After the firm and insurance offers are made, universities can get access to all the course application data, so for everyone that applied to us, we can see where students have opted to place their firm and insurance offers. We identify our main competitors from this data and so look for trends in who they are accepting and rejecting. This is not data in the public domain (and therefore privileged).
We also obviously find out when the A level results what grades universities are going down to. The first indication is where we are the insurance place. As firm institutions make their decisions on dropped grades, applications either come or don't come to us as insurance. Some institutions have always marketed themselves as not entering Clearing, and sometimes to do this, they are making bigger compromises in lowering grades for their firms.
Secondly, clearing itself is very different now. It used to only for people with missed grades to find places, but now there is lots of movement even from people who made their firm offer and don't technically qualify for adjustment. So, for example, if you applied to Manchester and didn't get an offer originally, but you now have the A level grades, applicants will see if they can get a place, even if they have a confirmed place at the firm.
So through Adjustment, general moving around and Clearing, we get a much broader sense of where institutions are pitching their acceptance. It is through monitoring what is going on, we learn what other institutions are doing.
I don't think I have said anywhere that all top institutions accept 5 Cs. What I have said is that a range of grades at GCSE is much more common than all As. Also that GCSE grades are not a the make or break selection criteria that some people were claiming they were.