Yes & no, IHeartKingThistle.
The goalposts for getting into the three sixth form colleges in our town now are:
-
Nationally rated, academic college - people have been known to take their dc out of surrounding private schools & send them to us for KS4 because they know we feed to this college - no admission without a C in Eng Lang/English. B required for any essay heavy subject. Totally non-negotiable.
-
Good all-rounder college - does a wider range of qualifications, arguably less academic, but solid reputation for Uni entries - officially, no admission without a C in Eng Lang/English. Some flexibility for re-taking English with a D & an excellent school reference, on condition of dropping one A Level or equivalent to concentrate on this. Cannot progress to y13 without a successful English re-take, & this option's heavily oversubscribed.
-
More vocational college - will accept students for a restricted range of courses without a pass in English; expects excellent school reference. Students required to re-take English GCSE, or, if that's totally unrealistic, functional skills qualification. VERY oversubscribed.
So yes, there's a definite element of league-table pleasing. Also, the increasing emphasis on performance related pay means teachers have to enter students for qualifications they'll hit target at, or the teacher doesn't get a payrise/could find themselves on capability.
But equally, Year 9 teachers will look at current performance before recommending the GCSE pathway for a student, on the basis of maximising their attainment so that they have as many opportunities as possible.
Given a student like OP's ds, I'd unhesitatingly be putting him in for combined English so that he will hopefully get a C, 'unlocking' college 2 & some of the courses on offer at college 1, & if he does well, a B which will 'unlock' everything at college 1.
Put him in for dual award Eng Lang + Lit, & he might well struggle & end up with a pair of Ds. That means college 3, except they are oversubscribed - so that could easily mean no college place at all.
I've never recommended that any student follow a particular GCSE pathway without having their best interests at heart. I game the system for the student first, my Performance Management second, & the greater glory of the school a long way third.