Aberdeen lockdown

[fluffyugg]

I'm really worried about this (live in Aberdeenshire), I am reading people are complaining saying it's overly dramatic to put restrictions but I can't see another way? If restrictions weren't put in place wouldn't the numbers spiral again...maybe the numbers will still spiral anyway? Also worried it's going to spread into Aberdeenshire too

Very good questions Dinnafashyersel ! It is amazing how quickly cases appeared. I do think we have a fairly high level of random tests here for offshore and football club and therefore more likely to pick up community transmission. I with SG would communicate more about how these cases came to light.

I mean more likely to pick up asymptomatic community transmission.

Good points and I'd like to know more too. I remember seeing on Facebook that one of the cases came to light through a routine oil worker test, the guy was asymptomatic. I find it really hard to believe that Aberdeen is so different to any other Scottish city with pubs open. I think the SG suggested also that people involved in the cluster were going to get themselves tested without symptoms and coming out positive which will obviously affect the numbers.

@Dinnafashyersel Jeanne Freeman said the other day that they don't know who was the trigger case and the hospital numbers in Scotland as a whole are still reducing , although don't know specifically if any new admissions in Aberdeen

But if Aberdeen only really started up last weekend surely we're a few days from hospital admissions anyway.

26th July was the start of it

That's right @SamSeabornforPresident, I think it takes an average of a week from first having symptoms to hospital admission (if it's going to go that way) and then potentially several weeks after that for death to occur, so we may have to wait a month or more to see the full impact of this. Although most of the detected infections seem to be in the 20-44 age bracket, who don't tend to get it badly, so hospital admissions may not really go up much.

I'm in Aberdeen, and I think this highlights how little testing has been being done. The main public test centre normally has no-one at it, compared to the traffic jam queues last week. The mother of a friend of mine is a nurse at Foresterhill, has worked throughout, and the first time she was tested was three weeks ago.

I'd agree with that Tomorrowisanewday. They need to be actively looking for any a / presymptomatics.

Ds' flatmate was in one of the pubs a few days after the outbreak so he ordered a test at the weekend - plus one for ds (who was in one of the pubs the day before the outbreak but obviously has not been socially distancing from his flat mate). They arrived yesterday but they managed to cock up following the instructions (ds said that they were worse than IKEA instructions ) so had to order another set, which arrived today. These are otherwise intelligent Uni students