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Mortgage rates rising — would you buy now or sit tight?

110 replies

BeQuaintLion · 07/10/2026 12:09

Just wondering how others who are currently looking to buy are feeling with all the news about mortgage rates going up and potentially rising further.

Are you still going ahead, waiting it out to see if interest rates drop, or hoping house prices might come down?

I’m on the brink of buying, deposit saved up etc, and now I’m really not sure what to do. It’s taken a lot of hard work to get to this point but it feels like a particularly bad time to be taking the plunge.

I know nobody has a crystal ball and there’s
probably never a perfect time, but I keep going between wanting to get on with it and wondering whether I should hold off for a bit.

Anyone else in the same boat? What are you doing?

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KeepPumping · 29/10/2026 13:25

XVGN · 27/10/2026 07:25

There were folks on HPC who were too scared to commit to a home purchase and are now looking at prices two or three times greater than they could have purchased for then. They just got it completely wrong. We hear the same noises now. I'm all for prices falling but I'm more for getting on with your life.

Just one word of caution. NEVER consider your home as a (financial) investment. It's just a place to affordably live with your family. This investment kind of thinking is what has driven much of the current crisis with amatuer landlords making out like bandits off the back of loose credit and minimal regulation. Housing is a terrible investment. It's illiquid and not diversified.

You don"t need a mortgage debt to get on with your life though, more and more people are awake to this, more and more young people are living at home and building savings, once you have the large mortgage debt (most people don"t want a 50k flat above a chip shop in a rough town) you are stuck with it through potential interest rate rises, most people won"t fix for ten years because they are conditioned to think that rates should always be low or going down.

https://www.theguardian.com/money/2026/oct/19/uk-first-time-buyers-paying-more-mortgage-rent

More than half of UK first-time buyers paying more for mortgage than they did for rent

Hamptons says figure of 56% is highest in at least a decade, with mortgage rates rising since start of Iran war

https://www.theguardian.com/money/2026/oct/19/uk-first-time-buyers-paying-more-mortgage-rent

XVGN · 29/10/2026 13:29

KeepPumping · 29/10/2026 13:25

You don"t need a mortgage debt to get on with your life though, more and more people are awake to this, more and more young people are living at home and building savings, once you have the large mortgage debt (most people don"t want a 50k flat above a chip shop in a rough town) you are stuck with it through potential interest rate rises, most people won"t fix for ten years because they are conditioned to think that rates should always be low or going down.

https://www.theguardian.com/money/2026/oct/19/uk-first-time-buyers-paying-more-mortgage-rent

Get some perspective. 44% were paying less. And of those paying more, the average was £39. It's time to stop making noise and let people make sensible decisions for themselves.

KeepPumping · 29/10/2026 13:35

XVGN · 29/10/2026 13:29

Get some perspective. 44% were paying less. And of those paying more, the average was £39. It's time to stop making noise and let people make sensible decisions for themselves.

Yes, but interest rates are not high yet, and immigration could drop a lot further, mortgage costs could go up a lot more and rent could fall a lot more.

XVGN · 29/10/2026 13:37

KeepPumping · 29/10/2026 13:35

Yes, but interest rates are not high yet, and immigration could drop a lot further, mortgage costs could go up a lot more and rent could fall a lot more.

Yes, and if that is too scary for you or anyone else then just fix at a level you are comfortable with and accept that you may be paying a premium for some certainty. None of this is earth-shattering or a reason not to purchase if you can comfortably afford to.

KeepPumping · 29/10/2026 13:59

XVGN · 29/10/2026 13:29

Get some perspective. 44% were paying less. And of those paying more, the average was £39. It's time to stop making noise and let people make sensible decisions for themselves.

But if you are staying at home and saving the average is not "£39", you are saving the full cost of the initial debt and the interest on the debt needed to join a massive housing bubble/Ponzi, once you take the mortgage that is it, you are paying back with interest for the next 30 years, most of the basic housing in the UK is not really worth that commitment at today"s prices, which is why prices need to crash back to more sensible levels.

XVGN · 29/10/2026 14:07

KeepPumping · 29/10/2026 13:59

But if you are staying at home and saving the average is not "£39", you are saving the full cost of the initial debt and the interest on the debt needed to join a massive housing bubble/Ponzi, once you take the mortgage that is it, you are paying back with interest for the next 30 years, most of the basic housing in the UK is not really worth that commitment at today"s prices, which is why prices need to crash back to more sensible levels.

You've still got your SE specs on, which I agree is vastly over-priced. Elsewhere, affordability rates (<= 5 time salary) are increasing. Don't forget that static prices and increasing wages will also do the trick.

KeepPumping · 29/10/2026 14:19

XVGN · 29/10/2026 14:07

You've still got your SE specs on, which I agree is vastly over-priced. Elsewhere, affordability rates (<= 5 time salary) are increasing. Don't forget that static prices and increasing wages will also do the trick.

Sales volume is the best indicator of affordability/demand IMO.

XVGN · 29/10/2026 16:02

KeepPumping · 29/10/2026 14:19

Sales volume is the best indicator of affordability/demand IMO.

Sales volume is pretty constant post GFC. Are you forecasting a marked change? And when?

KeepPumping · 29/10/2026 19:45

XVGN · 29/10/2026 16:02

Sales volume is pretty constant post GFC. Are you forecasting a marked change? And when?

Much lower if mortgage rates go up again until house prices are at more normal levels, of course the 50k flat above a chip shop in AnyRoughTown will always sell to someone.

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