This is from the emailed market briefing from retties estate agents. Can't find it online I'm afraid.
Possible effects:
The market at the top end is likely to burn brightly for the next 6 months for deals to conclude by April 2015.-
Stock levels are rising already as people seek to tap the market before the new tax levels bite-
There could then well be a considerable lag in trading at the upper end as the market waits to digest pre April trading activity and put off confronting the higher levels-
Rural properties within commuting distance will start to trade again. The tax differential on 2,200sqft in Gala vs Morningside is now £41,000. Enough for 13 years of season tickets on Borders Railway.-
There is the danger that this will lead to the marginalisation of aspirational families looking to step up - in Edinburgh (combined) those paying between £350,000 and £500,000 will be paying £6 million more.-
This upper middle band of the market is likely to be most debilitated by the tax. The very rich won’t be too effected by an extra £50,000 of tax.-
Transaction taxes generally are extremely distorting. It will take time for the market to settle after they are introduced.-
Will the “shock” of adjusting to the new rates rapidly move the debate on to addressing the efficiencies in the approach to property