I think intake is down at all independent schools septembers yr7, even the popular ones will be down due to the economic issues we all face. I work across the state sector and know quite a few people in these schools, and 50 doesnt sound that bad compared to others ive heard of, some with as little as numbers in the 30's and one as low as 25 ish!
I think this will be the way forward - and schools will need to adjust themselves for smaller numbers in the future and adapt so they remain financially viable. And, fundamentally, thats an OK thing, nothing to panic about.
Talking local only - this is easy to do if you’re one of the bigger schools locally, like The Effingham Trust, St Cats, Tormead, RGS (who have seen the need to go co-ed to protect numbers).
But the smaller independent preps and less secure secondary schools, like Priors Field, will find adapting hard as over the years they've already shrunk a lot. Also, schools like Tormead, GHS (who have seemingly lowered their entry bar) and RGS (had to go co-ed) do have a geographical advantage and all have strong finances/Guildford assets to leverage against if needs be.
@Honestma , on your other point though - the 'experience' - well that's their actual issue (despite being a relatively large entity), in my mind. As, if its unpopular, people are leaving and the way it is run is not going well - well that's something that will hurt and becomes a terminal down spiral!
Ive also heard things about the new CEO and im yet to be persuaded, but early-ish days! Although, 3 days a week, work from home, etc. for a ceo, (which is what the advert said!) doesn't wreak 'commitment to the cause' in my mind.