Predicting the future: Going from Level 2b to 3a from Y3 to Y4 - tutoring?

[QuintessentiallyQS]

Ds2s school report is glowing. It is Level 4 for effort and Above average for everything (aside from handwriting and music), so it is looking good.

Considering his vast improvement from Y3 to Y4 (he went from nursery in Norway to start Y2 in Britain a few years back, and he was 1b at the end of Y2), I am wondering what to predict for the end of Y6, and whether we should send him for tutoring next year in Y5.

We want to send him to an independent secondary, so as to give him the same educational opportunities as his brother.

There will be no levels when he is in year 6.

If you want him to go to an independent secondary, it might be worth getting him a tutor who specialises in helping children to pass the entrance exam.

Level 4 would be dreadful on dd2's reports... level 5 is the worst, and I suspect never used, just put in to make the range lok more realistic.
I assume for you level 4 is the top, in ours it goes 1 down to 5.

I don't think it's predictable really. Because he may have hit his "proper" level now, and progress as "expected", which would put him at 4a in year 6 (it's one level every 2 years at KS2 isn't it?)-which is above expected, but would depend on the independent entrance level as to whether that would be acceptable or no chance.
Or he may continue to progress at the same level-which would be 5c year 5, level 6b year 6-which would be the top end of primary.
Or he could suddenly have a jump and do even better than that!

Obviously that is true of any child, but I'd suspect in his case it is even less predictable.

I think if I was in your situation, I'd ask a tutor (get personal recommendations) to assess him at least. Better to put a bit of extra in now and find he flies, than hope he'll be fine and find he's not.

That is level 4 for effort obviously, not NC levels!
They used to have 3 levels which went:

1. Excellent-always full effort, always homework handed in, behaviour always good
2. Good-usually good effort, homework usually completed, behaviour usually acceptable
3. Satisfactory,-poor effort, homework not completed/completed to an unacceptable standard, behaviour not satisfactory.

It was pointed out that the description of 3 could hardly be called satisfactory, and they needed more levels so they turned it up to 5.

Lol, there are 4 effort levels, and 4 is the best.

No, I think you are right, it would be good to get a tutor on board to ensure he progresses, and get some exam preparation.