Average levels for Year 3

[Pumpkinsandpickles]

What are the average or expected levels to be achieved in year 3? How much improvement is expected half way through the year based in yr 2 levels?

I think the prevailing theory is 3 points progress a year, which doesn't help you much, but it is not unreasonable to expect a year 3 child to make 1 sublevel (2 points) progress during that year. So 2c at the end of y2 would be 2b at the end of year, 2b should progress to 2a This would then have an expectation of 2 sublevels in Y4 to make that 3c or 3b and the child is then probably on track to make the expected level 4 in Y6 with two further sublevels in Y5 and a final 1 in Y6.
Lots of schools seem to be pushing for more progress than 12 points now, but the 'average child' (if there is such a creature) achieves 2b at the end of y2 and level 4 at the end of Y6.
I'm sure that there are those who would like to chart progress on a week by week basis but sadly children do not learn at a precise and measurable rate and they will always differ. Prior high attainment is no guarantee of continued progress. As they say - constantly weighing the pig doesn't make it any fatter!
Hope that helps...

At the end of y3 the average child should be one or two sub-levels higher than their y2 grade.(depends how secure they were at y2)
That means the average child attains 2b at the end of y2 and a 2a/3c at the end of y3.

Thank you both. It seems similar to what I thought. I just wanted a little clarification before parents evening as a little worried about DD's lack of progress so far this year.

Don't forget that transition from Infants to Juniors is greater stress for some children- hence the expectation of only one sublevel... it is only mid year after all.

We predict 2a/ 3c.

Within years 3 and 4 a child should make a whole level's progress (or 3 sublevels).

The average child will make 1 sub-level's progress in one of years 3 and 4, and 2 sub level's progress in the other year.

Year 3 is notoriously counted as a consolidation year. Not great for my ego! I might as well just let them play and take it easy!

Hi Pumpkinsandpickles

Mumsnet has some information on expected levels: www.mumsnet.com/learning/assessment/national-curriculum-levels

and expected progress: www.mumsnet.com/learning/assessment/progress-through-national-curriculum-levels

HTH