Umm... Op doesn't want an elcs!
I am a doula who frequently supports women opting for VBAC. The info you are given and manner it is given to you will very much depend on the background and preferences of the consultant and trust pressures (for example one local trust is trying to reduce cs stats by increasing vbacs so they are very encouraging....)
Nobody can give you a '95% likelihood of not being able to birth you baby' - it's nonsensical. In the vast vast majority of cases 'emergency' cs is a result of prior circumstance (e.g induction causing prolonged labour causing distress leads to the cs) and a million other examples.
The best way to achieve a successful vbac is to see a consultant midwife/ lead midwife for normality and make an individual care plan for your birth having worked through with her what happened previously.
It takes most of us a long time to identify and come to terms with what decisions (accepting induction, labouring flat on back, having epidural, time constraints...) contributed to the birth outcome we got and whether we/care givers could have made different decisions or not.
This has to be worked through with someone knowledgeable, not fearful and with the authority to make a change and individual care plan.
A straightforward birth is less risky for mother and baby (as well as all the other benefits)
VBACs would have a better uptake and success rate if protocol was not to confine women to bed and monitoring- these are optional and not helpful to mother or baby.
So in short- see your consultant midwife if possible instead. if you do see a consultant find out his/ her leaning and do a lot of reading yourself. Get good support from a normality midwife and/ or doula to make plans for the normal straightforward birth your body is capable of. Remember there is no such thing as 'allowed' or 'not allowed'......
Fear should never be part of this experience.
Be informed, be positive and make your own choices 