So latest ComRes poll puts Labour in third place, yet BBC reckons they would still get the most seats!

[gaelicsheep]

here

Can someone with far more political knowledge than me explain how this can possibly happen in a so-called democracy?!

Well, a nice man on Radio 4 suggested this:

A swing to the Lib Dems will have most impact in the South, where it will effectively transfer votes from Conservative voters to LibDems and thus transfer seats to Labour.

In the North, it will have negligible effect.

It's all about swings and marginals, I think.

I think it makes a hung parliament more likely, personally. I don't see the swing for LibDems holding, or not to this degree, anyway.

But with any luck Policywonk will be along to clear things up!

In part because the boundary changes and population movements of recent years have worked in Labour's favour, so the system is skewed towards them.

But as I said on another thread, the Lib Dems are in second place in so many constituencies that if they get past the mid-30s then they see a sudden jump in seats, and on 37% they would have the largest number of seats in parliament. Not unimaginable, given current momentum.

I realised the system was skewed towards Labour, but I must say I am staggered at just how much. It's pretty outrageous IMO.

Its extraordinary all these different polls giving all these different results and projections. I am becoming totally reliant on the BBC commentators to help me understand.

Also realise the BBC is so under Labours thumb, shitting itself the licence fee might get abolished, reduced, or shared out with the other TV production companies, that its willing to broadcast any crap it thinks might please them.

Come on, Linstash - by that reasoning the BBC would be bending over backwards to be appeasing the incoming, BBC-smashing, potential new government.

Next you'll be telling us the BBC is a nest of pinkoes, and stuffed to the gills with lesbians and "minorities" of every stripe (including women).

Seriously, you just bounced in here like a right-wing Zebedee. It was vaguely surreal.

lincstash - actually the top brass at the Beeb are desperate not to offend the Tories. Although they know full well an incoming Tory govt. would be in hock to Murdoch anyway - however much the BBC panders to the Tories, Cameron is bound to savage it.

Labour in third place.. that brightened my day.

I was at the gym this morning and they were showing Sky News - again all the polls are different but all showing a reduction in both Conservative and Labour with a corresponding increase in LibDem. Only one of them had Labour in 3rd and all of them still had Conservative in front. The margins look very tight now C/L/LD averaging out at 31/34/29.

Sorry I meant 34/31/29 Got my red and blue mixed up there.