Tactical voting?

[Wigeon]

I have never voted tactically, but I have just seen the Ladbrooke odds for my constituency (Con: 44% chance of winning, Lib Dem 44%, Lab 10%) and now I am wondering if I should.

I am a life-long Labour voter, but failing that I would prefer to have a Lib Dem consitency MP than a Conservative one.

Our seat is classed as a three way marginal because the 2005 election results were very close (Labour win, with Lib Dems in 2nd place with 1,000 fewer votes, and Con in 3rd place with 1,000 fewer votes than the Lib Dems). But the Ladbrookes odds make me think it really is a two horse race, rather than a three horse one.

How accurate are the Ladbrookes odds? Should I be making decisions about tactical voting on the basis of Ladbrookes odds?

Am getting confused! Someone help!

Lib Dems are 4th behind Greens in my area

Con and Lab pretty even

There lies MY dilemma... don't want Cons in, have no faith in Lab

Tactically voted for many years if the Tories were anywhere in the running.

Would always use my vote against them.

Sometimes it's not about who you want most to get in, but avoiding who you like least.

OP if you want to avoid a Tory MP I would go for the Lib Dems

I would vote tactically in order to avoid who I like least.

But should I be basing this decision on the Ladbrooke odds, which imply the Labour incumbant doesn't stand a chance? (poor woman is a Ministry of Justice minister too).

(I mean how trustworthy are Ladbrookes odds)