The end of the National insurance system.
The three main purposes of National Insurance are:
? unemployment insurance
? incapacity-to-work insurance
? pensions
But the conditions under which the insurance pays out have been becoming narrower and narrower, and the cover it provides shorter and shorter
? Jobseekers Allowance only lasts one year and has incredibly narrow, byzantine stamp-contribution criteria (this week's contribution counts, that week's doesn't, etc).
? Incapacity Benefit/ESA has just been made one-year only, has similarly narrow stamp criteria, and the capacity criteria have been narrowed significantly (from "can't earn a living" to "can't do any economic activity however small".)
So the number of people benefitting from this insurance has plummeted.
Once the pension is made flat rate and severed from the individual's National Insurance record, the NI system will be practically redundant. Not worth the administrative cost.
NI will then be subsumed into general taxation under the flag of efficiency and no longer ring-fenced. Gideon is already floating this. (The single remaining requirement of 30 years' stamp/tax payments across a lifetime can be done through the tax system.)
There will still be pensions, and poor-people's subsistence payments, but the stage will be set for a huge shift in the narrative.
At the moment, Jo Public can rightly point to her contribution record and say, "I paid in, this is my payout." Sweep away the contribution record and you can redefine people receiving payouts as beggars on the state who were too feckless to provide for their old age/misfortune. And why should the hard-working, responsible, etc etc current taxpayer fork out for scrounging scum?
Gideon does, however, think that compulsory national insurance is a really good idea. So good, we should introduce it. With private, profit-making insurers. (Have lost this link but will post if I dig up.)
One more thing. There'll be a substantial transition period when we're paying massively higher tax, because it's "combined tax and NI premiums", but also paying private insurance premiums and pensions, because there are next to no NI payouts.
What a 100th birthday present.
National Insurance. 1911-2011. RIP.