Sorry, this is going to be a bit long, but I think it is something that people might want to be aware of / maybe consider writing to their MPs about if they are concerned.
This is buried right at the end of Annex 3 in the Dept for Work & Pensions White Paper 'Universal Credit: Welfare that Works':
'Some self-employed people under Tax Credits report very low levels of income. We know that in starting up a business that it can take some time before it becomes profitable. But once established we would expect to see a reasonable income from the business activity. So for Universal Credit we are considering introducing a floor of assumed income from self-employment for those registering as such. The floor will be set at the National Minimum wage for the reported hours; clearly profits above this limit may be received and reported. For those self-employed people who engage in only a few hours of activity, and do no other form of paid employment then we will expect them to engage with the conditionality requirements as set out in Chapter 4. '
My reading of this is that even though they are aware of the fact that people starting up in self employment are highly unlikely to earn the minimum wage in the early years, you are only going to be 'counted' as doing the number of hours as if you were earning min. wage.
So if you were working 40 hours p/w, but only earning £80 p/w, they would count that as earning £80/£5.93 =
13.5 hours per week, and you would be expected to 'engage with the conditionality requirements' - ie look for other work.
Now, IME, the Tax Credits system have helped a lot of people (including us) get past that sticking point with small businesses where you really need to work at it full time, BUT you aren't bringing in enough money to make ends meet. It seems to me a very backwards step to cut out that support, at a time when there are very few alternative jobs for people to move into.
Yes, fair play to have some time limit - say, for example, that you give people 3 years self employment with Univ. credit support - and if they aren't earning min. wage by then, expect them to look for other work.
But I think on the current proposals a lot of people will lose out, as will the Treasury, since once established small businesses can then go on to provide good solid employment for others as well as those who start them up. For sure, our business has many times repaid the two years tax credits we received just in terms of employers NI, even leaving aside our personal tax payments.