France voted for change, or did they, based on the near record low 35% 2nd round parliamentary turnout for this newly established En Marche Party, self-labelled as a centralist party?
But I will agree that after the UK general election results, where both main parties will now move further left and right, that there is room for a vacated central ground in UK politics, but one could argue that if the Lib Dems under Farron had not hoisted their electoral flag mainly to frustrating Brexit, arguably they could have done better in the election – but now Vince Cable has the opportunity to reshape the party’s policies going forward, away from the Brexit core issue.
If the Lib Dems cannot attract the centralist vote and the UK has a new centralist party, and lets not forget UKIP could rebrand itself within the next few years under a then ex MEP Farage on the right, the UK had better get used to multi party coalitions in government, as they’ve had in the likes of Germany.
The French people in voting for a President Macron and then his brand new parliamentary party with his centralist coalition gaining a landslide, have voted for a change, but may not be entirely sure what they WANT, but know what they don’t want – the previous administration and its allies, as after 5-years in power President Hollande’s party crashing to just 7.4% of the popular vote, and 9.5% for the left parliamentary group as a whole.
Hollande initially applauded for 75% penal taxes on the rich, later cut and put more upon businesses, but had said back in 2012 to judge him on his record, especially on French unemployment that had generally stayed around 10%, with around 1 in 4 of the under 25-year olds unemployed within, and it appears they did.
But here, policy wise, is where to me it gets centralist questionable, as alluded to by Mistigri, but to my mind throws out a slightly different conclusion;
As again looking over ex investment banker Macron’s key policies - which are generally pro business (including the lowering Corporate Tax), make Euro 60 billion of annual government budget cuts, and further reduce the cost of the State by cutting government workers by 120,000, all while reforming the overly restrictive labour laws holding back their economy, investment and job creation - one could argue that they are not centralist at all, they are further right wing.
Which could explain a low voter turnout as uncertainty, within a country where parties for decades have TALKED about a smaller State, but never achieved it as evidenced by I believe the 56% of French GDP it takes up - and so as those policies individually come up in the French parliament for legislation, France could see widespread anger from many of her citizens.
On the EU Macron is for a much closely integrated 19 country Eurozone, with a separate budget and MEPs etc, and quite where that will sit in French politics, or the other EU member countries officially left as ‘satellites’ around an inner core they’d have no power of veto over, is anyone’s guess.