I’d actually think most grades above the standard offer get a pretty quick offer at Exeter.
It gets a lot of applicants and is very popular because as well as being a lively campus with good courses, its offer level means lots apply who have higher grades and might put it as insurance, plus it’s the right level and also aspirational for lots too. It gets lots of applicants ….but it has to significantly over offer as each of those applicants will be holding other offers and Exeter won’t be top choice for all. They are known to often take students who miss their offer by a grade or even two as well. It’s very hard for unis to ‘get it right’ when they can’t tell how many will firm and insure and how many miss their offer grades.
I think mid range/good RG unis will offer to most who have the standard offer grades as predicted or achieved. It’s just some get offers sooner than others. At this level, they prob won’t offer to applicants with less than the standard offer, although come results day, they may well take a no of their offer holders who achieve less. Less competitive unis may well offer to people with predictions below the standard offer….and in reality the advertised standard offer means very little.
Tyey all want to give the impression of being highly selective and turning lots away, but in reality, it’s a buyers market for most courses and most unis.
There aren’t that many courses at that many unis who can afford not to offer to students who exceed the standard offer grades. Perhaps it’s certain very popular courses like Econ, Computing, Psych, some Maths and some Stem and especially those courses at places like the top London Unis, Edinburgh, St Andrews, Durham, Warwick, and possibly one or two others for some of their courses???
The difficulty is that when a 3 x A star or 2 A star and A candidate apply to that list for something like Econ, they may well find they only get 2 offers. Most will get a couple but perhaps not the one they really want. But they have to accept that’s the way it is. But fortunately for most applicants for most courses it’s not like this.