DS is currently in Year 12 and probably applying to Cambridge this Autumn. The school want all the UCAS forms in by the middle of Sept for Oxbridge applicants, so unless things change over the summer, none of them will have a chance to visit colleges before they apply. Same for anyone applying to any uni as all open days closed.
They were supposed to have exams straight after the Easter break which went towards their predicted grades, but obviously these have been cancelled. They’re talking about some kind of online assessment instead and encouraging them to still revise over Easter, but it won’t be the same.
However, he did get talking online to one of the heads of the sixth form the other day because on his report there were grades and his were A, A, B,B. He wasn’t sure if these were predicted grades and obviously he would need A*AA for Cambridge. The teacher told him that these grades relate to where he is performing in A-level standards right now. He said that nearly all pupils will be performing at least one grade higher by this time next year and they have data that tracks this kind of thing etc etc. So it seems they do know the levels students are performing at. They track performance for the cohort year after year and they have a pretty good idea, even early in Year 12, how things are likely to pan out. I think A-levels are probably easier to assess than GCSEs as well because for GCSEs its easier to pull it out the bag at the last minute.
He also asked about taking a gap year and if this improved the odds of an offer and was told that although Oxbridge say they treat all applications equally, it is slightly harder to get a gap year offer - definitely for maths or sciences. This is a school that get maybe 20 or so into Oxbridge each year and lots of others into US unis and other equally competitive courses, so they must have some data on this. They said unis don’t like to give many deferred places because it reduces the spaces for the following year’s cohort and also they’re worried they will forget a lot of info during the year.