i'm not sure. I definitely think the statistics on swine flu are ludicrously unreliable, as is diagnosis.
eg dd had a temp of 38, vomiting, came on v suddenly, dr checks her over says 'i think it's swine flu, take her home and get some tamiflu' Within about 12 hours she was right as rain, didn't even have a chance to give her tamiflu. As far as i'm concerned it was just a 24 hr bug and Dr caused unnecessary panic (and earned himself an extra fiver) regarding something which ordinarily would haveonly merited a 'make sure she gets plenty of fluids, something to bring down temp, and rest'. Esp as i was 7 mths pg.
Fast forward a month, dd's poorly again,this time with a temperature which just won't go down, no matter how much paracetamol and ibuprofen we alternate. Cough, sore throat, general lethargy and just very poorly for days and days. On about day 4 her temp surges to 40, and she seems to be going into a seizure. We ring ambulance and i wait with her, terrified, opening all the windows even though it's snowing outside, in a desperate attempt to cool her down. We have a hellraising 20 mile ride to hospital on ice and snow only made bearable by the wonderful ambulance staff who take her into the resuscitation department. Once she seems stable, i try to glean from the staff what on earth they think it is. 'Just a virus' they say. 'Could this be swine flu?' 'Don't know, we're not able to run any tests here, anyway, so it would be pointless saying that it is... swine flu/ normal flu/ any virus, we jsut treat it the same way...'
Luckily, dd made a full recovery and we shall never know exactly what it was, but she's subsequently been sent a letter to go into the surgery and have the vaccine