WHO estimates 10,000 new Ebola cases per week by Christmas

[Beaaware]

10,000 a week OMG

Oh christ

That's a lot of people dead.

100% chance of it travelling to every country also.

What else have they said?

Where have you seen this? Their website has nothing to this effect on it?

Its on the sky news website cariad

Thanks!

Just found it. Death rate has gone from 50% to 70% as well. Horrible.

Start to panic when you see your GP receptionists/Doctors/Nurses/Public Transport Staff/Airline Staff wearing face masks and disposable gloves in fact anyone who is in contact with the travelling public.

Not to forget Hospital cleaners and public toilet cleaners....reaches far and wide

Public toilet cleaners?

I panic and then I think to myself oh we will be okay. Then I see threads like this and I think oh shit !

Doesnt help that I work in a chemist . Would I look like a loon if a put a mask on just incase

Public loo cleaners, yup I don't think I'd want to be one in a large city if it comes over here. I hope they're not being forgotten about, and are getting instruction on how to keep themselves safe.

I am not surprised. I just don't understand why they don't stop travel altogether from those countries severely affected and just allow military flights in and out for aid / personnel etc. At least until they get this thing under control.

Just read the article and I see is says there could be 10,000 new cases per week within two months. It doesn't necessarily mean there will be.

That's what's meant by exponential rise.

The death rate hasn't really changed. When looking at cases with known outcomes, it's always been around the 70% rate. It was sometimes lower if they counted in cases where people were still ill as 'non fatal'.

There is exit screening for outbreak areas. There is no way to seal the countries, as in places the borders aren't even marked, let alone secure.

I don't know what is happening in this case. But when swine flu hit the headlines there were wild estimations of 10% of the world's population being wiped out. I took this seriously. It never happened. I sincerely hope this disease will be contained. I wish the scaremongering would stop as people just get complacent.

No, they probably couldn't stop all travel, but they could stop all air travel.

I, too, don't know why they can't quaranteen the countries. I mean, I can see reasons against, but would have thought stopping this travelling worldwide would overrule everything else.

Did anyone else catch the BBC lunchtime news today? I'm not sure if I've got this exactly straight, but they quoted someone from MSF saying they did not think there was much prospect of the outbreaks coming under control (ie numbers of new cases beginning to fall) by December. And that if numbers are still rising rapidly at that point, 'the world has no plan B'.

Sorry for the rather doom laden post - but did anyone else hear that news, and possibly offer more context?

This is so sad, over 4000 Black Africans have been killed by Ebola and no one gives a shot. Insted of finding a cure people are more interested in stopping the spread.

"Finding a cure" could take a generation or more (there are next to no cures for any virus diseases). Even if the vaccine trials go without any hitches and are fast-tracked, the earliest roll out is 2016 (according to the Beeb today).

How many will die in that time if "stopping the spread" is not the priority?

Stopping the spread has nothing to do with not caring.

Stopping the spread has to be done in combination with finding the cure. Even if a cure is found, as the illness grows exponentially, it gets harder to treat.

What's wrong with quarantine? If quarantining a whole country is needed, so be it. Then the HELP can be concentrated in those areas. If it spreads, what do you think will happen.

And fuck off with the 'black African' thing. They are people. Of course we care about them .

The people who 'find the cure' are pretty bloody obviously not the same people who are 'stopping the spread'.

It needs to be contained, as a priority, not only to prevent more deaths, because of the far reaching implications to the whole of the countries concerned. It's not about containing it before it wipes out the world, but before it causes more unnecessay death and suffering.

CNN had interviews with some of the older orphans, it was heartbreaking. I'm not often moved to tears by the news, but that really got to me :(

Ebola is a trivial killer in the big scheme of things ....
www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2014/10/ebola-graphics
Look at the "deaths per day" chart