Do you agree that it's rare for a 'bright' child to be recategorised on the basis of a run of poor results as it is for a weak student to be 'upgraded' if they go on to do well? Apparently a bright child will often be seen as 'not fulfilling their potential' while an 'over achieving' weak student will probably be credited with lots of effort rather than an increase in 'ability'?
Have been doing a lot of reading recently about spurts and dips in school performance being the rule rather than the exception.
It's true that a 'bright' 11 year old is expected to do well at GCSE and beyond. Less than half of the children who came in the top 5% in national tests at 11 go on to remain in the top 5% at GCSE. Could this be because other, previously weaker students, have begun to do better rather than they as a group are being 'failed'?
The Times Educational Supplement reported in 2006 that the Specialist Schools and Academies Trust (SSAT) have drafted a plan with the DfES to encourage universities to establish links with these pre-teen students who excel in year 6 tests. The Trust's chairman is convinced 'bright' 11 year olds should achieve 3 As at A level and wanted secondary school heads 'held accountable' if those students don't make it. The SSAT went on to build up a 'gifted and talented' list of students so they are not 'let down' by secondary schools.
This may all be out of date now as this was 2006 (?)