Even assuming the change means 25% of children leave the private sector and go to state over the next few years, if you crunch the numbers, you’re probably still looking at a net cash increase of approx £50 for spending on every state pupil in the country.
Now that might not sound a lot, but when you consider that many schools currently lack the resources to spend £5 per pupil for a few pens, pencils, and notebooks - that’s actually a pretty significant and decent result.
And in the mid term it will encourage private schools to offer better value for money to their remaining parents/students. With average private school fees now circa £17,000 compared to to £7,500 for state.
It will be a chance for the private schools to prove their worth. We’re constantly told that the benefit they offer isn’t just about small class sizes and better resources. No, we are told they are more aspirational, have higher standards, better behaviour policy, better teachers etc and THAT is where the difference lies. Well, now they can start reducing their fees and start to prove it.
Let’s see if that £17k is really value for money - considering a parent could opt for a “free” state education AND use that £17k for say 10 private 1-1 hours of tuition per week in any subject or hobby of their choice.