appears not to be supported by the figures from the statistical first release.
www.gov.uk/government/statistics/phonics-screening-check-and-key-stage-1-assessments-england-2014
99% of children who meet the standard in year 1 go on to attain level 2+, compared to 88% of those that didn't meet the standard in year 1 but did in year 2 and 34% who hadn't met the standard by the end of year 2.
43% of children who met the standard in year 1 went on to attain level 3, compared to 5% that only met the standard by the end of year 2 and 0% that hadn't met the standard by the end of year 2.
That's quite a striking difference.