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Myths re lockdown was wrong

718 replies

Betsyhilton · 21/10/2023 20:10

Just seen someone on another thread basically trying to claim that lockdown didnt reduce deaths. The contested John Hopkins survey seems to be encouraging people who basically behaved selfishly, ignored medical advice and did what they liked to now claim retrospectively that they just knew lockdown was wrong.

AIBU to think these are just basically selfish irresponsible people who ignored official advice at the time because it caused them inconvenience and are now jumping on any theory to try to justify their self centred behavior?

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EasternStandard · 24/10/2023 18:03

WhalePolo · 24/10/2023 17:57

Which is just a typical “Us for Them” type argument.

“If the best place for children is in school, then allowing unmitigated transmission is counter productive. Those who have opposed measures in schools, have opposed all measures - they have also refused to acknowledge the children who have been impacted by covid.”

So again, it’s less an argument to do with the welfare of children - and more about promoting a libertarian narrative citing children as their cause.

The issue should be the impact of a pandemic on children’s welfare if you want better outcomes for children.

It is which is why Save the Children made the recommendations they did.

I’d like to see them implemented.

WestwardHo1 · 24/10/2023 18:33

WhalePolo · 24/10/2023 17:57

Which is just a typical “Us for Them” type argument.

“If the best place for children is in school, then allowing unmitigated transmission is counter productive. Those who have opposed measures in schools, have opposed all measures - they have also refused to acknowledge the children who have been impacted by covid.”

So again, it’s less an argument to do with the welfare of children - and more about promoting a libertarian narrative citing children as their cause.

The issue should be the impact of a pandemic on children’s welfare if you want better outcomes for children.

Yet another example of posters on the internet dismissing stuff they don't want to hear as right wing, conspiracy, Us For Them etc. Trying to promote a divisive binary "you're either for us or against us" narrative

WhalePolo · 24/10/2023 20:53

Except the Save the Children report didn’t say ‘never lockdown again or use restrictions when faced with a pandemic’. They stated it should be used as a last resort and they made sensible recommendations about protecting children’s welfare for future pandemics.
Like I said before - there is a stark difference between 1) learning from this lockdown and improving outcomes for the future
and
2)twisting the words of the words of the report to support an anti lockdown, anti restrictions, anti science type argument in favour of libertarian politics.

EasternStandard · 24/10/2023 21:05

WhalePolo · 24/10/2023 20:53

Except the Save the Children report didn’t say ‘never lockdown again or use restrictions when faced with a pandemic’. They stated it should be used as a last resort and they made sensible recommendations about protecting children’s welfare for future pandemics.
Like I said before - there is a stark difference between 1) learning from this lockdown and improving outcomes for the future
and
2)twisting the words of the words of the report to support an anti lockdown, anti restrictions, anti science type argument in favour of libertarian politics.

No they’ve just said what to put in place on behalf of children and young people, which is pretty much what I wanted so I’m glad to see it somewhere else.

As for people asking for no more lockdowns in the future. Well we learnt how hard they are, how damaging they are and maybe not everyone will want to go back. It depends on the pandemic though. For Covid risk maybe not, for other risk I couldn’t say.

MyOtherNameToday · 24/10/2023 21:42

Fladdermus · 21/10/2023 22:15

I'm Swedish, in Sweden. I can tell you about how we managed. We're a very health conscious people and also very compliant. We didn't need a formal lockdown with police powers of enforcement because when our scientists told us to do stuff, we did it. We had a defacto lockdown in the early days when they advised us all to stay home, until everywhere had mitigating factors in place. There was a lot of trust here as decisions and recommendations were made by the scientists not the politicians.

We still have covid recommendations that everyone follows.

Yes I wish people would stop harping on about Sweden in a misleading way. 'Ooooh look at Sweden they didn't lock down they just let it rip! And they did better than us!'

Completely missing the fact that Sweden doesn't have such a whiny, individualist population and instead has an attitude of social cooperation and collectivism and felt a moral responsibility to do the right thing for each other.

The people I personally knew who squawked the loudest in lockdown weren't in fact the most vulnerable and oppressed in society but rather the most indulged and entitled who were furious not to be allowed to go skiing or visit their second home! Especially not for those old, sick people!

Louloulouenna · 24/10/2023 21:53

Sweden never closed schools for younger children and had a lower death toll than the UK (which had some of the longest periods of school closures in Europe).

Whatever your opinion is of “whiny” British people the evidence from Sweden and a number of other countries / territories doesn’t support mandatory lockdowns as a valid pandemic response when all the other costs and consequences are taken into account.

MyHornCanPierceTheSky · 24/10/2023 22:09

WestwardHo1 · 24/10/2023 18:33

Yet another example of posters on the internet dismissing stuff they don't want to hear as right wing, conspiracy, Us For Them etc. Trying to promote a divisive binary "you're either for us or against us" narrative

I remember reading on a thread in the dark lockdown days "never was so much given by so many for so few" as in a reverse of the Dambusters.
Think this was in response to a shrieking response to someone suggesting only the cev have to isolate and all the services brought to them of 'if I have to isolate everyone else should too'.

VitoCorleoneOfMNMafia · 24/10/2023 23:13

Electro79 · 24/10/2023 08:00

The ability of a viral particle, or virion, that spikey ball we saw depicted in every TV news report about covid, to infect another person once it has been shed from it's host.

Most vaccines don't prevent these particles being infective, because the vaccine primes our own immune system to clear the infection from our body, it does not damage the particle structure such to prevent it from infecting another, the shed particle is just as capable of setting up a new infection regardless of the vaccination status of the host in which it was replicated.

The vaccine, as you correctly say, primes our bodies to clear the infection.

One of the consequences is that we fight it off faster, so are infectious for a shorter time and therefore have less time to infect others. Hence, vaccination indirectly reduces transmission rates.

VitoCorleoneOfMNMafia · 24/10/2023 23:17

1dayatatime · 24/10/2023 08:54

@WhalePolo

"The fundamental building block any society is its health and safety. When that is secure, then you can achieve quality of life and economic wealth"

+++++

Actually the fundamental building block of any society is the economy. The stronger the economy the greater the funding available for a health care system. For example the healthcare system in Somalia is not as advanced as in say Germany due to the difference in funding. The same principle applies to everything else the state provides from education, social care etc and yes the greater the economic wealth then the greater the quality of life.

++++

“The Royal Society researchers concluded that lockdowns and social distancing measures were the most significant intervention, with some studies suggesting they could have reduced the reproduction number of the virus by more than 50 per cent.”

Absolutely forcing people to stay in their homes will definitely reduce the transmission of any contagious disease whether that be Covid, the flu or even common colds.

The issue however is whether the societal and economic damage caused by the lockdowns and other measures will result in more harm and including deaths in the long term than the lives it saves in the short term.

For example the flu kills on average 25,000 people a year in the UK. This figure could be significantly reduced if we had a lockdown each winter. But no one would seriously suggest this because although it would save lives it would come at an unacceptable cost to society and the economy.

The flu is a well-understood virus with a vaccination programme to protect the mist vulnerable.

The coronavirus, when it first appeared, was a complete unknown. We knew that people in China were getting very ill and dying and that was the extent of our knowledge at that time.

You can't compare a strategy for a novel pandemic with a strategy for a well-understood seasonal virus.

Electro79 · 24/10/2023 23:22

VitoCorleoneOfMNMafia · 24/10/2023 23:13

The vaccine, as you correctly say, primes our bodies to clear the infection.

One of the consequences is that we fight it off faster, so are infectious for a shorter time and therefore have less time to infect others. Hence, vaccination indirectly reduces transmission rates.

True, and it would be lovely if it worked that well, alas the main benefit of the vaccine is reduction in severe infection, it doesn't do so well against mild and moderate infection, which tends to manifest as a nasty bug, with lots of coughing and spluttering and hence potential for transmission.

Don't get me wrong, the development of a vaccine that actually works to any extent towards a coronavirus is a huge achievement from a scientific standpoint, but it's a long way from a total solution as of yet.

VitoCorleoneOfMNMafia · 24/10/2023 23:30

it doesn't do so well against mild and moderate infection, which tends to manifest as a nasty bug, with lots of coughing and spluttering and hence potential for transmission.

I had really hoped that covid would cause a permanent cultural shift away from going to work with colds and instead keeping your germs at home. But, capitalism has other ideas.

GrannyRose15 · 25/10/2023 07:33

MyHornCanPierceTheSky · 24/10/2023 22:09

I remember reading on a thread in the dark lockdown days "never was so much given by so many for so few" as in a reverse of the Dambusters.
Think this was in response to a shrieking response to someone suggesting only the cev have to isolate and all the services brought to them of 'if I have to isolate everyone else should too'.

If you are going to cite Churchill please get it right. The quote mentioned referred to the fighter pilots of the Battle of Britain and not the bombers known as the dambusters.

GrannyRose15 · 25/10/2023 07:39

VitoCorleoneOfMNMafia · 24/10/2023 23:30

it doesn't do so well against mild and moderate infection, which tends to manifest as a nasty bug, with lots of coughing and spluttering and hence potential for transmission.

I had really hoped that covid would cause a permanent cultural shift away from going to work with colds and instead keeping your germs at home. But, capitalism has other ideas.

I thought everyone stayed at home these days. It’s known as wfh.

But on a serious note I think we would all be better off if we stayed at home when we were ill. I also think that a policy of paying sick pay for those who had to isolate would have been a better and cheaper way of dealing with covid than furlough. It would also have made it easier to recover the economy if we hadn’t allowed people to get used to not working.

GrannyRose15 · 25/10/2023 07:43

VitoCorleoneOfMNMafia · 24/10/2023 23:17

The flu is a well-understood virus with a vaccination programme to protect the mist vulnerable.

The coronavirus, when it first appeared, was a complete unknown. We knew that people in China were getting very ill and dying and that was the extent of our knowledge at that time.

You can't compare a strategy for a novel pandemic with a strategy for a well-understood seasonal virus.

The important phrase here is “when it first appeared”. Yes it was a novel virus that we knew nothing about. But our strategy/panic didn’t stop as we learned more about the virus and about the effects of lockdown.

MyHornCanPierceTheSky · 25/10/2023 09:48

GrannyRose15 · 25/10/2023 07:33

If you are going to cite Churchill please get it right. The quote mentioned referred to the fighter pilots of the Battle of Britain and not the bombers known as the dambusters.

I humbly stand corrected, but the sentiment is the same.

Motheranddaughter · 25/10/2023 13:01

Better sick pay would definitely help
If people are only getting SSP you can’t blame them if they don’t test and don’t stay off work
A lot of people who get full pay when sick,particularly in the public sector,forget that not everyone gets paid
Particularly with the cost of living crisis ,if it’s a choice between staying home or going to work and pay the mortgage ,I know what so would do

Fladdermus · 25/10/2023 13:13

Louloulouenna · 24/10/2023 21:53

Sweden never closed schools for younger children and had a lower death toll than the UK (which had some of the longest periods of school closures in Europe).

Whatever your opinion is of “whiny” British people the evidence from Sweden and a number of other countries / territories doesn’t support mandatory lockdowns as a valid pandemic response when all the other costs and consequences are taken into account.

Sweden has much smaller class sizes than the UK. Average primary class is 16 pupils and average secondary is 22. Lots of secondary schools did a mix of home and in person classes so that only half the school were in at any given time.

Louloulouenna · 25/10/2023 13:53

The average class size of a UK independent school is also in that ballpark and there was no difference whatsoever between covid infection rates in state and independent schools.

WhalePolo · 25/10/2023 14:06

@Louloulouenna

Thats a massive over simplification because

  • Sweden had an otherwise compliant population and one of the highest vaccine uptakes in Europe. They did start to introduce mandates closure of upper secondary schools as the pandemic worsened, so were following scientific guidance in other ways
  • they had a health care system that could cope better than many other countries
  • a similar no lockdown strategy did not work in India/Brazil
  • the fact that half of humanity were on lockdown ‘allowed’ them to be different - but if you applied no lockdown as a global strategy to tackle pandemics, you’d end up with massive m inequality : the richer countries coping far better than the poorer countries.
  • a global pandemic needs a global strategy
Louloulouenna · 25/10/2023 14:33

Don’t get me wrong, I am not an advocate of no lockdowns or covid measures whatsoever, just that in advanced economies such as Britain, the extended lockdowns and in particular some of the longest periods of school closure of any country were not justified in terms of the collateral damage and who was actually at risk from covid. Clearly some action was needed in order to prevent the NHS being overrrun.

I still don’t understand why the government wasn’t specifically warning people of the dangers of obesity given that age and obesity were the two highest risk factors and we knew this relatively early.

I don’t think you can compare Britain with Brazil and India but think you can compare it broadly with other European countries.

Am genuinely curious as to why Sweden seems to be such a uniquely compliant country.

Fladdermus · 25/10/2023 15:02

Am genuinely curious as to why Sweden seems to be such a uniquely compliant country.

I think it's about trust and our collective mindset. We comply because we trust the decision makers to make the best decisions for all of us. With covid the politicians took a step back and left the decisions to the health experts. We knew that if Anders Tegnell told us to do something it was based entirely on the science and in our best interests. So we'd do it.

If we'd have had Boris Johnson at the helm we'd have questioned everything.

Fladdermus · 25/10/2023 15:09

Also we have the tools to be able to comply. Stay home if you are sick - our SSP is 80% of pay, many employers pay the difference and there's no culture of 'ploughing on'. Keeps kids home if they are sick - very easy to do as SSP also covers when you're off because your child is sick.

The system makes it easy for us to comply.

EasternStandard · 25/10/2023 15:12

Fladdermus · 25/10/2023 15:02

Am genuinely curious as to why Sweden seems to be such a uniquely compliant country.

I think it's about trust and our collective mindset. We comply because we trust the decision makers to make the best decisions for all of us. With covid the politicians took a step back and left the decisions to the health experts. We knew that if Anders Tegnell told us to do something it was based entirely on the science and in our best interests. So we'd do it.

If we'd have had Boris Johnson at the helm we'd have questioned everything.

We were compliant here.though

Just with more closures on top. I prefer your list

Destiny123 · 25/10/2023 15:28

Louloulouenna · 25/10/2023 14:33

Don’t get me wrong, I am not an advocate of no lockdowns or covid measures whatsoever, just that in advanced economies such as Britain, the extended lockdowns and in particular some of the longest periods of school closure of any country were not justified in terms of the collateral damage and who was actually at risk from covid. Clearly some action was needed in order to prevent the NHS being overrrun.

I still don’t understand why the government wasn’t specifically warning people of the dangers of obesity given that age and obesity were the two highest risk factors and we knew this relatively early.

I don’t think you can compare Britain with Brazil and India but think you can compare it broadly with other European countries.

Am genuinely curious as to why Sweden seems to be such a uniquely compliant country.

Yea that did frustrate medics somewhat. Can only assume the basis of fear of being seen to fat shame at a time gym etc shut

Boris mentioned it in his "out of icu" speech that his weight may have played a role at least

It definitely scared a lot of nhs staff into dieting

GrannyRose15 · 25/10/2023 16:05

😀😀😀