@x2boys
"I think some, people forget why we had a lockdown in the first place ,it was to,prevent the.NHS from being overwhelmed ,imagine if the .NHS,had got overwhelmed,there would have been far more deaths for starters,nobody getting even basic treatment
there were certainly mistakes made and some of the restrictions made no.sense but ,March 2020 was a scary time and the scenes coming out of Italy were terrifying,hindsight is a wonderful,thing, it's easy to look back now,life is more or less normal for most people,and say lockdown,should never have happened ,but what was the alternative?"
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I don't think I was ever clear why we had a lockdown in the first place. The rationale kept changing. Firstly it was a short breaker to "flatten the sombrero" to keep cases down, then it was to stop the MHS being overwhelmed until things like the nightingale hospitals could come on line, then it was stop hundreds of thousands from dying, then it was to stop granny being killed.
As for how many would have died if there had been no or less lockdowns this is impossible to show as there were lockdowns, equally it is impossible to say how many more would have died if there had been no lockdowns or shorter / less lockdowns or equally how many lives could have been saved if the lockdowns were longer or more strict as in China. It is all a matter of opinion now.
I have to push back strongly against the notion that it easy to say lockdowns should have been shorter / less of with hindsight. Many many people were pointing this out at the time but were shut down as Covid deniers/ anti vax or selfish granny killers.
Lastly you ask what was the alternative? Again this is a matter of personal opinion with no way of knowing what the outcome would have been. Personally I would have stuck with the first lockdown for the time it was originally stated to be for. Then I would have introduced guidance and support for the elderly and vulnerable to stay at home. Then I would have ensured that state sick pay was enhanced and extended to cover all workers. But to lockdown an entire society when the majority were not at risk was both madness, damaging to the healthy, sacrificed an entire generation of children and young people and economically crippling as we are now seeing.
But that is just a personal opinion with no means of showing what the downsides of such an approach would have been.