They have said all along that the autumn/winter could be bumpy (euphemism for 'it could yet all go horribly wrong')
Cases are rising again. But the key bit of data now is hospital admissions, because when the NHS becomes the NCS we are in big trouble.
Rates are falling, which is to be expected as they lag about a week behind the new infections.
if we want to get through relatively unscathed, there are two things that will make a difference
a) being vaccinated - the unvaccinated are much more likely to end up in hospital
b) keeping a modicum of SD (in the hope that it takes the edge off the rates) such as masks indoors (esp public transport), not getting close to strangers, better ventilation.
If the rates get too high, then stricter imposed measures will be needed. Even countries with totally different health provision are currently concerned about projected winter rates, and are ready to act to avoid overtopping services