What were your predications in March 2020. How do they compare to now….?

[Iwannabelikeyouohh]

Back in March 2020 what did you predict was going to happen. How did it compare to what has actually happened?….

Did you think you’d be fully vaccinated now (if you chose to be fully vaccinated)
Did you think restrictions would be fully lifted by now?

My predications were very catastrophic 😞
I was suffering with awful PND and post natal anxiety. I honestly thought we were heading into some sort of zombie apocalypse 🤦🏻‍♀️

I didn't think kids would go back to school until after the summer hols
I was surprised vaccines came through so quickly
Thought it would be around 2 years until total normality resumed
Didn't expect to be unable to visit other people's houses for as long as it was though

I thought I was getting a nice little 2 weeks “off” work (well WFH) and I’d do some nice extension work with DS to get him more ready for going to his grammar school in the September instead of SATs revision. Then we’d have the Easter holidays and that would be 4 weeks so we’d be in “a much better place” and return to normal 😂😂😂😂😂😂.

I was convinced I'd die of Covid. I was very strict and barely left the house during the early lockdowns.

Since then I have taken steps to improve my general health and fitness and I'm vaccinated, of course, so I feel a lot more relaxed now.

I just remember this terror of how would I be home with my children for so many months with absolutely nowhere to go? How could I do it without going completely mad?
Actually it wasn’t as bad as I expected in many ways but the winter lockdown was, even though we had more freedoms eg playgrounds thankfully never shut again and able to go on a walk with a friend with under 5s.

I don’t think getting vaccinated ever really crossed my head. I remember us pre ordering vaccines from all these different companies and the desperate hope was that one of the vaccines worked and that we’d have enough for all older people and CEV.

My background is politics and a lot of my predictions were political rather than scientific and I was right on more than I wish

I predicted Johnson would handle it badly due to his personal deficiencies, primarily his propensity to lie.

It has been interesting and scary to watch people believe him time after time.

I did not predict such a fast vaccine, nor so many good vaccines. I hope vaccine development for other illnesses will be boosted by the covid investment.

I predicted I would get to at least Xmas 2020 & still "know" no one who had had covid.
I reality, I've got to September 2021 and still know no one who has had covid.

I didn't predict work would move to hybrid model permanently. I thought WFH would be disaster for me, but actually it's been ok.

I suppose I expected more deaths but sooner finish to restrictions; instead we have fewer deaths & restrictions & rules seemingly forever. MNers and general public seem very supportive of rules & restrictions forever.

I thought the statistics would be more obviously showing the deaths were overwhelmingly 1-2 yrs premature rather ... whatever we have now about how premature they have been.

I feel sorry for ppl who are having to choose between bodily autonomy & jobs.

I thought the decisions would be more science based which would have meant fewer restrictions, because of the lack of evidence about which restrictions would work. Instead we got knee-jerk restrictions and LOUD advocates for precautionary principle rather than evidence-based decisions.

I predicted I would get to at least Xmas 2020 & still "know" no one who had had covid.I reality, I've got to September 2021 and still know no one who has had covid

It shows perfectly how, in our relatively small country, the vast differences that people have experienced during this pandemic. For me I've known too many friends, family and colleagues to list who have had confirmed covid. It is interesting to hear that some have been completely untouched.

Same as you OP....I thought it might be game over for a significant proportion of the population. I wasn't confident about the vaccines being developed quickly enough. Obviously they were and that was a major game changer.

Some of us were ‘shrieking like hysterical banshees’ about what we were facing back in February 2020. People laughed at us and said life would not change. 😳

I started a predictions thread for 2021 at the end of last year asking what people expected to happen this year which is interesting to read back now.

www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/4118930-Covid-Predictions-for-2021

My (extremely accurate) prediction was that all would be resolved by 1 August 2020.

TBF there’s still a few banshees about.

I catastrophised a bit. My concerns were mainly around how the pandemic would affect food production and distribution, especially given how much of our food is imported from countries that were badly hit. Link here if you think I'm making it up www.mumsnet.com/Talk/preppers/3863011-Being-brutally-realistic-how-bad-do-you-think-it-will-get

It seems silly now, but when you think back to that time, with empty shelves and death rates rising everywhere - we couldn't know how it was going to end. For those who are interested, we did plant lots of veg but only the squash did well

I also thought that bodies in the streets would happen. Not people just keeling over, but vulnerable/homeless people who didn't have access to support or couldn't keep warm and hydrated enough when ill.

Really glad I'm crap at predicting things.

I knew a long lockdown was coming and from past pandemic that you are looking at 2-3 years before it's really settled. however I thought that would get numbers down and KEEP them down. That turned out not to be true with spikes in numbers again

Then I was delighted with the vaccine progress and thought that would end (or near enough) transmission - it was getting close to that but then delta variant seems to have made herd immunity impossible and vaccines haven't stopped transmission

I felt like there would be some definitive end point where we could all go out and celebrate everything being fine, and I feel silly to have thought that but also feel weirdly robbed of it

@AlfonsoTheMango

My (extremely accurate) prediction was that all would be resolved by 1 August 2020.

Oh, hi Boris

I thought the decisions would be more science based which would have meant fewer restrictions, because of the lack of evidence about which restrictions would work. Instead we got knee-jerk restrictions and LOUD advocates for precautionary principle rather than evidence-based decisions.

To be fair, evidence based can only be based on evidence that exists and in the absence of that, intelligent hypotheses are all you're left with. That's not at all unscientific; it's a scientific response.

I predicted I would get to at least Xmas 2020 & still "know" no one who had had covid.I reality, I've got to September 2021 and still know no one who has had covid

How is this even possible. Do you only know rocks or something.

How is this even possible. Do you only know rocks or something

I know exactly 2 people who have had covid. One 50 yo friend in April 2020 and me in Dec 2020. No one else. So its not hard to believe at all.

You have to remember there are what, 66 million people in this country and somewhere around 6 million have caught covid. So we're still talking 60 million people have never caught it which is the VAST majority of the country.

You know two, though. That's not none either. I still think the odds are really against it.

@SpnBaby1967 think it’s more like 10-15 million have had covid? There have been over 7million positive tests to date, plus all the cases that were never confirmed back in spring 2020 when there was no testing available.

To be fair, evidence based can only be based on evidence that exists and in the absence of that, intelligent hypotheses are all you're left with. That's not at all unscientific; it's a scientific response. Agree with this from @cloudacious. Think those who wanted to wait for months and months for 'evidence' before doing anything were batshit! Scientists were in favour of measures early on.

@SpnBaby1967

How is this even possible. Do you only know rocks or something

I know exactly 2 people who have had covid. One 50 yo friend in April 2020 and me in Dec 2020. No one else. So its not hard to believe at all.

You have to remember there are what, 66 million people in this country and somewhere around 6 million have caught covid. So we're still talking 60 million people have never caught it which is the VAST majority of the country.

I thought it was more like 20% + have had it? Of course many won’t have had positive PCR tests. They may have suspected they had Covid during the first few months when you couldn’t test, not bothered to test or been asymptomatic.

I stupidly believed it was "3 weeks to flatten the curve". Now I'm mad.

@Peteycat

I stupidly believed it was "3 weeks to flatten the curve". Now I'm mad.

Do you believe Johnson these days?

I am interested very much in how he keeps on getting away with it!

I said to family o/s they lived in best place for a pandemic which did turn out to be the case. One of few zero Covid

I knew London would be hard hit

@lannistunut

No I don't. I agree with you, I'd like to know too.

I thought the pandemic would be a lot sharper - more deaths, more shortages but over a much shorter period. I was also catastrophic in nature.

I thought the recovery period would be deeper, worse to recover from but more hopeful and kind. Like the day after an apocalypse in a film.

I didnt think recovery would be this drawn out, this apprehensive, and this sort of slow burning of pushing everyone to their limits, constantly, then offering a light easing, before another slap. It's made everyone guarded, short on patience, more selfish. It's hard work to be honest. A lot of people have their defence mechanisms up, not that I blame them.