Can you help me with these results.

[Dandylioness1]

I’ve just used the Q- Covid calculator.

I’ve entered my details and it’s given me an absolute risk of hospitalisation & death from Covid.
They are as follows -

COVID associated death
0.0008% 1 in 125000

COVID associated hospital admission
0.0443% 1 in 2257

I’m in my 30’s, due my second dose of the AZ vaccine in 3 weeks.

My risk of a clot from the vaccine is
0.0016% 1 in 60000

So I’m more at risk from having the vaccine than I am from Covid?

I know the advice is to proceed with your second vaccine, but with these odds then I should surely be saying no!!

Yep I believe it is 6 reported second dose clot cases too. The chances of a clot after being ok with the first dose is likely to be less. However does still exist.

[quote Walkaround]@Dandylioness1- the six cases of clots post-2nd dose have not been confirmed as linked to the 2nd dose, they have just been reported in case there is a link.[/quote]
@Walkaround

Why would they not bet related to the second dose. We know clots are related to the AZ vaccine, I highly doubt it’s a unrelated.

I doubt it’s unrelated, too, but you asked for clarification of someone else’s meaning and I gave it. I would have expected more cases to have been reported as possibly linked already by last Thursday if it was going to be a similar magnitude of problem to dose 1.

I agree you're not comparing like with like. Risk of dying from COVID19 = 1 in 125,000. If your risk of getting a clot = 1 in 60,000, but only 25% of those die, then your risk of dying from a clot is 1 in 240,000, almost double the risk of dying from COVID19.

You can do a separate comparison for risk of COVID19 hospitalisation, or risk of long COVID versus getting a clot but not dying from it, but you can't compare COVID death numbers with getting a usually curable clot, that makes no sense.

Eeek...I didn't mean double the risk....I meant dying from COVID is twice as likely as dying from a clot! The risk of dying from a clot, based on your numbers, is half the risk of dying from COVID.

@Dandylioness1. How about you post links to what you've been reading that disagrees with the MHRA and W.H.O

The bit I quoted earlier was from 7 May, on the gov.co.uk website (can't link on this rubbish tablet) so fairly recent.

However, even if all six cases do turn out to be linked to the vaccine, that's still only a rate of one in a million, and none of them have died afaik.

At the end of the day, it is your choice (of course) and one jab is better than none. But whatever you decide, you need to factor in that your initial interpretation of the risk from the second jab was inaccurate.