It is impossible to say. GPs who have spare supply (and they have been told they won’t have deliveries for 1st doses week of 12 and 19 April) can now call people.
Typically, GPs pick up those who haven’t booked on the national system, if they are just age-order priority rather than CEV or CV. This often takes a couple of weeks.
It is everyone’s personal choice, but we are recommended that as soon as we are eligible we book. A bird in the hand could be seen as worth more than 2 in the bush. That GP invite might not come for 2 or 3 weeks.
If they don’t want to travel, is there a family member who can drive them? Have they actually looked at the national system and input their details to see where they get offered? The national system has pharmacies on it too and these might be closer to them than they think.
I’d encourage famiky members to get on and book and think that most people who are now eligible can make the journey....they’re mostly 40s, not 80s now and a bit of a journey for something worthwhile doesn’t seem ridiculous, especially if they have a car.
It is also better for everyone if more get jabbed sooner. We get to herd immunity sooner and age groups get completed sooner moving the next group down can get theirs quicker. Lots of people struggle to think about the bigger picture stuff though.
That said, they will be offered it so not booking now won’t mean they ever get excluded. The offer of a jab is described as ‘evergreen’ and eligible people will be welcomed now or followed up (multiple times if needed) and welcomed whenever they eventually say yes.