It’s not true that state schools have no incentive to play the system and be overly generous. All schools like to be able
to present fantastic i results and show themselves in a good light.
Many independent schools will have better results than many state schools (clearly lots of state schools beat independent schools too) but that is the case every year when they are are graded by exams too. It is a fact that students in independent schools have access to more resources, smaller classes etc.
In the end, the grades teachers award this year have to be based on evidence of performance. They aren’t to be based on potential or to reflect the fact that some children had a more disturbed education over Covid than others. Teacher grades aren’t being given to level the playing field. The reality is that some students have had a fantastic online learning experience and have made great progress and will be given higher grades. Others have had a truly crap time due to home situation or school situation or whatever...no level playing field.....but the grades will be given based on the work they’ve done, like the grades would have been based in exam performance, with no special treatment to those with difficult backgrounds etc. There will be scope to plead special consideration as usual, but it won’t be that someone has had a worse Covid experience than someone else.
Given students in affluent areas have often accessed better education and more education than those in deprived areas, the results this summer should show a widening gap of attainment between the haves and have-nots....because that has been the experience of Covid and experience of education. But I feel pretty sure the figures when they come out won’t show that, because it’s. It the story the government will want to project, so instead, when they do whatever ‘moderation’ they want to do to the teacher grades submitted, I’d think that particularly deprived schools will be treated a bit more leniently, although that shouldn’t happen, because these grades are meant to reflect performance (now across the course not just in an exam) and not be adjusted to reflect the more difficult circumstances some students have faced.