The QCovid Algorithm

[RosesLoves]

I just used the QCovid Calculator and I am ranked 18 out of 100. I'm clinically vulnerable (group 6) but in my 20s. I used the calculator for family members and they are ranked more highly (e.g. 50/100+) than me due to their ages and perhaps BMIs even though they are in lower priority groups with no underlying health conditions.

Do you think they will start to use the QCovid calculator to evaluate all priority groups?

I feel guilty as throughout the pandemic I have been avoiding going to the supermarket thinking I was high risk when it turns out my parents are at a higher risk than me and I should have done the food shopping instead of them.

Also does anyone have any idea what the cut-off rank is for the new CEV? One of my relatives scores is 80/100 and I'm not sure how high the ranking has to be to fall in the new CEV group?

When you do QCovid there is a bit that gives you a score for absolute risk and relative risk. The threshold for shielding is an absolute risk of 0.5% (5 in 1000) or relative risk of 10.

They're not looking at 'Covid age' which is where you got your 18/100.

digital.nhs.uk/coronavirus/risk-assessment/population#agreed-threshold-for-adding-people-to-the-shielded-patient-list

I don't know anything about a calculator but I can't see we'd ever get to a position where vaccine priority would be done on an individual basis. That would be crazy when it's going so quickly and there's no central record of the data needed. Who would even do it?

well age is the greatest risk factor for covid so you would have to be profoundly vulnerable (ie ECV not group 6) as a 20 something year old to be at greater risk than someone in the 60s or early 70s and unlikely to be at greater risk than someone over 80. Particularly as a woman.

[quote ExpulsoCorona]When you do QCovid there is a bit that gives you a score for absolute risk and relative risk. The threshold for shielding is an absolute risk of 0.5% (5 in 1000) or relative risk of 10.

They're not looking at 'Covid age' which is where you got your 18/100.

digital.nhs.uk/coronavirus/risk-assessment/population#agreed-threshold-for-adding-people-to-the-shielded-patient-list[/quote]
If the absolute risk is 0.0104% but the relative risk is 20.8 is that likely to generate a shielding letter? It wasn’t clear on the guidance if both the absolute and relative risk needed to be above the threshold or just one.

Also, how would the national database know this info? Do GPs note get logged centrally so it can be used for an algorithm like this?

I used the QCovid calculator yesterday. My score was 55 - went to 53 when I factored in mild asthma. My husband's score was 82. But guess who got a covid message today? Me. I don't understand things. We are both on the moderately vulnerable list but we have always considered my husband to be more at risk - I am so worried with schools going back. Waiting for the vaccine has been one thing. Being worried about not getting it before schools go back is another. While I am very grateful to have a chance to get the vaccine - I would like my husband with a score of 82 to be protected as well!

@ExpulsoCorona thanks so much for explaining that, it all makes sense to me now. I have posted your explanation on another thread that is running, I hope OK.

www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/4167430-Shielding-list-to-be-virtually-doubled?watched=1&msgid=104783170#104783170