@MoirasRoses
Why do you think the vaccines won’t have an impact *@ElliFAntspoo* ? Do you not believe the scientists & their extremely hard work in creating something to help significantly reduce deaths?
That isn't what I said, is it?
What I said was, the excuse will be made that the reason the vaccinations don't have the impact on the spread of the virus that they thought they would will be because of all the people swanning around the country during the summer.
It was a long sentence so let me unpack it into smaller bits....
i. The government have already, or are about to, announce a step by step exit plan from Covid restrictions. A roadmap as it were.
ii. They are projecting that the vaccinations will reduce the transmissibility of the virus to 0.3ish by September, and if they achieve that we'll end lockdowns etc.
iii. So, we go through a staged release of lockdowns, from 4 to 3 to 2 and to 1 walking us from Easter into summer, and freedom. But all dependant on them guessing that their projections are right.
Except their projections have always (every single time - 100% success rate) been over estimates of what they think they can achieve, and then they need to explain why the mistake happened to the 'but you said' brigade.
Now, they could blame the 'I don't want to vaccinate' brigade, or the BAME community, or the SAGE advisers for getting the projections wrong, or they could roll out another 'variant from Timbuktu' or wherever that is 90 time more deadly than any virus ever seen on earth before.
But I an guessing that they will blame their drastic over estimation on the figures on people's social interactions in public during the summer holidays and point out that we, the people, cannot be trusted to walk the streets without infecting eachother.
So not saying that it doesn't work. As soon as I am offered a jab, I sure as hell am gonna take it. Just explaining the difference between real life, government narrative and scientific certainty.