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Question for ICU nurses/doctors

4 replies

RupertRupertTheBear · 09/01/2021 22:39

Apologies if this has already been asked.
Approximately, what percentage of people in ICU with covid are in the top 4 priority groups?
In other words, when the first 4 categories have all been vaccinated, assuming the vaccine is fairly successful, will we be able to start relaxing most of the restrictions? I hear on the news that younger people are more susceptible to the new variant, but how does that look in ICU?

OP posts:
Motorina · 09/01/2021 22:44

Projected impact of the vaccine on deaths, ITU, and hospital admissions:

mobile.twitter.com/doctimcook/status/1346414105331163137

When we will start lifting restrictions is a political decision - much harder to graph!

RupertRupertTheBear · 09/01/2021 22:54

That's interesting. I've just had a quick look, but it appears that to get ICU admissions down by 50%, you need to vaccinate up to and including group 7, which I think is a long way off. However, deaths come down as soon as groups 1 & 2 are vaccinated.

OP posts:
Motorina · 09/01/2021 22:57

It's because the very elderly and frail don't typically get admitted to ITU, because they're unlikely to recover from it. ITU is brutal on the body, so you'll only get admitted if you're - apart from having covid! - robust enough to make a good recovery . That means, on average, ITU patients are younger than you might expect. And so you need to vaccinate further down the age range to reduce ITU admissions than you do deaths.

Bluepiano · 09/01/2021 23:27

Is that after both vaccines? I worry that the policy of waiting 3 months for the second vaccine will prolong things further and not offer meaningful protection

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