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Covid

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Does anyone know the figures for the time it takes for symptoms to show?

9 replies

HeyChubbee · 23/12/2020 08:25

DP in isolation (had alert on app) common sense tells me that most people would show symptoms from days 2-5 rather than day 10 but does anyone know the actual statistics?

Thanks

OP posts:
cathyandclare · 23/12/2020 08:26

The average is 5 days.

scaevola · 23/12/2020 08:27

The range is 2-14 days (very, very few cases outside that)

Most cases that become symptomatic do so around 5-7 days

Littlegoth · 23/12/2020 08:35

Median 5.1 days (so 50% of people will have symptoms by day 5). 97% by day 11. That’s a big gap between day 5 and day 11.

scaevola · 23/12/2020 08:36

Thanks for posting the median!

The 5-7 days I referred to is the mode (the days where it most frequently occurs)

TheSilentStars · 23/12/2020 08:38

Same as it's always been. Minimum around 5, maximum anything up to 21.
Average between 5 and 14.

Chaotic45 · 23/12/2020 09:22

It's strange that isolation has been reduced to 10 days if it can take 14 for symptoms to show?!

DH tested pot last week, we are free as of Boxing Day but we all feel very cautious about spreading it and still being infectious (DC and I were negative).

We will be careful but I'm my dads primary carer, we all work and I have to buy food ASAP so as of Boxing Day we will need to leave the house.

HeyChubbee · 23/12/2020 21:18

@Chaotic45 I was going to say the same about the 10 days 😬

OP posts:
lljkk · 23/12/2020 21:54

Only ~2% of cases get symptoms in the period 10-14 days after exposure. Maybe 1% later than 14 days.

Chaotic45 · 23/12/2020 22:06

I've done some digging and found a scientific paper looking at the amount of live virus within the nose over time of people who had tested positive.

As @lljkk said only a tiny % of people had live virus past 10days. These were people who had been really unwell, with a high temperature, or who were immunocompromised . Even with these people they struggled to find live virus capable of replicating.

It makes the French approach of 8 days +2 is you have a high temperature make sense I guess.

I hope that makes sense.

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