Will under 50s get the vaccine?

[FairyAtTheBottomOfTheGarden]

This is the order of who will get the Covid-19 vaccine (according to BBC)

1. Residents in care homes for older adults and their carers
2. 80-year-olds and over and frontline health and social care workers
3. 75-year-olds and over
4. 70-year-olds and over and clinically extremely vulnerable individuals
5. 65-year-olds and over
6. 16 to 64-year-olds with serious underlying health conditions
7. 60-year-olds and over
8. 55-year-olds and over
9. 50-year-olds and over

But it doesn't say anything about under 50s with no underlying health conditions. I assume everyone WILL get it in time, won't we?

I’m in Australia and you will need to either be vaccinated or go into quarantine to come here. Which means the same applies to me if I want to leave and return. I won’t be surprised if I can’t get vaccinated until late next year (under 50 and not vulnerable).

@Ninbuscl

Userzzz a 99% chance of survival isn’t really that great. 1 in 100 dying. At most academies that would be about 10 or 20 parents dying (if they all caught it).

Also someone else said it won’t spread easily once so many are vaccinated. we don’t know if the vaccine will help with spread and herd immunity as we don’t know if people can still be infectious but show no symptoms after they are vaccinated. All the results have shown is that severe illness is protected against.

But in the under 50s the survival rate is well over 99.6% and that's only taking the actual known cases in to account. If as appears to be the case up to 50% of cases are not even included in that (due to being asymptomatic or very mild symptoms), then it's more likely to be at least 99.8%

disclaimer
These are a rough calculation looking after googling mortality rates and the seeing that the mortality rate for 40-50 is around 0.5% and this reduces as the age range drops. These were also for everyone in that age group, obviously once those in the CEV and CV categories are vaccinated the survival rate will increase.

@Userzzz

Why should under-50s get a vaccine without any long term trials when they have over a 99% chance of survival?

That is my view too and I won’t be getting the vaccine but I have nothing against those who want to get it. I’m sure under 50’s will be offered the vaccination but I guess it will be reviewed nearer the time to see if it’s needed or not depending on the number of cases and how the vaccinations already given have effected the spread.

I hope so. Long covid is awful and I know enough people my age (30s) who've had it. If we can get a flu jab, then I'm hoping we can get this! It'll probably be a while though, sadly.

It's not about just surviving though is it? There are lots of long term issues with covid. Also as previous posters have said, things like being able to travel will be dependent on it.

@gwenhwyfar ahhh but even low risk people can have awful effects. I know a number of people who are still struggling. Having listened to a number of GPs, you still want to get a vaccinne if you can.

For me getting vaccinated isn’t because I’m scared of Covid. It’s so we can have our normal life back again. That and for older relatives and those I know who are vulnerable.

[quote BabyLlamaZen]@gwenhwyfar ahhh but even low risk people can have awful effects. I know a number of people who are still struggling. Having listened to a number of GPs, you still want to get a vaccinne if you can.[/quote]
Yes, but young people can and do get all sorts of terrible illnesses. You have to look at how high the statistical chance is.
I do hope they vaccinate everyone who wants it eventually.
Younger people can get cancer, but often aren't included in the screening programmes e.g. bowel cancer screening is only for the over 50s I think.

The plan I understand is to aim to have rolled out vaccination to the entire adult population by the end of 2021. Obviously, this is dependent on lots of things but the strategy is to get as much of the population vaccinated as possible as soon as possible.

Personally I've never really understood why people wouldn't want a vaccine for any disease. I pay for the flu vaccine every year as I have no desire to spend one week ill in bed when I could prevent it with a vaccine. The same goes for the covid vaccine. Whilst the mortality rate for under 50s may be low it's not all asymptomatic cases. I'm sure a significant proportion feel grotty for at least a week/ are bedbound and then there is long covid.

"I pay for the flu vaccine every year as I have no desire to spend one week ill in bed when I could prevent it with a vaccine."

I've never had flu so don't see this as a huge risk. I've taken the jab when it's been offered for free to protect other people, one year because a colleague had cancer and this year just in case I get Covid and flu at the same time or just in case I need to be hospitalised for flu and put more of a burden on the health service.
The small personal risk doesn't merit paying for it for me.