Geographical boundaries of tiers when areas with high cases next to low nos

[peridito]

I keep wondering about this and how it can be managed .

I live in SE London and in a borough where our cases are falling .My son ,who lives at home ,works in a borough ( 35 min drive away ) where numbers are high and rising .

I suppose London will be one tier . There must be other places with high and low numbers close to each other .I just can't see a workable way to impose more "robust" measures on some areas and not others .

Am I talking rubbish ?

@peridito. am I talking rubbish?.

No. Perfectly reasonable question to ask.

Going from the four primary criteria that seems likely to be used you could end up with a patchwork of tiers. Which would likely not be practical.

London has 32 boroughs ( if city of London included with hackney) and the data is likely to suggest they should not all be the same tier. However the level of inter-connectivity, the integrated transport network would presumably also be factored in. I can’t see how say Ealing, Hounslow and Hillingdon could be in three or even two separate tiers if the data to suggest that (which I am not suggesting it would, just picked those three as an example of geography).

I’m in a far more rural county which could swallow up London in its entirety several times over. There is a significant range in rates, positivity and speed of fall between all the district council areas, at least two would look destined for tier 3, and perhaps a couple tier 1, and then the rest in the middle. No idea if it will work out that way - especially as there are only two major hospitals for the entire area. Taking this further one of the obvious tier 3s is geographically bigger than London and has exceptionally high case rates in a very defined and limited set of adjacent MSOAs. An argument could be made that this one district should not all be the same tier.

All of which makes me wonder if the tier allocation will actually be published on Thursday.

Thanks boys . Not just me loosing my mind then .

Trouble is it makes me feel the whole tier thing is pointless .And ,if it were possible to do so ,further undermines any remaining hope I have that those in charge know or are to be trusted in what they are doing .

It seems there's no practical way of dealing with it .

They may publish the tier allocation ,they surely wont publish the criteria it's based on .