True Covid statistics

[Whitechocolatemarshmallow]

www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8971669/What-DONT-tell-Covid-facts-twisted-strike-fear-hearts.html

I think this will both reassure and infuriate people to be honest.

Well maybe things are levelling off because the restrictions such as tiers and more recent lockdown are working.
Figures for October maybe are lower due to the excess deaths back in March/April.
So 50% have serious conditions ie diabetes or dementia but what about the other 50%.
Diabetes also doesn't routinely result in a death sentence or greatly reduced life expectancy. My mum has diabetes but iher death at 85 was in no way diabetes related.
Hospitals are possibly quieter because they can do fewer planned surgeries due to infection control and I also wonder if the beds figures include the private sector as many NHS surgeries were happening there.

The artice seems to be inflammatory headlines caused for clicks and division so standard DM fodder.

One example

In mid-September, Sir Patrick made the terrifying claim that the UK could see 50,000 new coronavirus cases a day by mid-October unless more draconian restrictions were introduced. Yet we have never got near that figure.

Now what they said actually came true, in fact the death numbers which they said could be 200 was actually more. The 50k include asymptomatic people. The zoe app prediction was similar to that number. Yes only 20k offically tested but that doesn't take into account every actual case.

Uses vocabulary like ' terrifying' and ' draconian' we also had some restrictions anyway so that may have helped numbers.

There is more thats just one point.

Agree with PP - terrible reporting. Another example:

In a July report commissioned by Chief Scientific Adviser Sir Patrick Vallance, scientists estimated that there could be 119,000 deaths if a second spike coincided with a peak of winter flu. Yesterday, that figure stood at 54,286 – less than half that.

Well yes - because the second spike didn't coincide with a peak of winter flu. And it's still autumn anyway, fgs!

Currently, only 13 per cent of NHS beds are occupied by patients with Covid-19.

Quoting as a percentage of total NHS beds is irrelevant, because the beds are equipped for different things - you can't fill up a maternity ward with covid patients, for example. If the capacity we have is 10%, then "only 13%" could still be over capacity! This article really annoys me!