So four weeks and then what?

[Youtubeaddicts]

Don't all jump on me at once. Im going to be complying, I understand what will happen if we leave the virus to run free.

But people keep saying how if we all just follow the rules we will be out of this quicker. I don't see how. The moment you ramp up contact with other humans, it really doesn't matter where that is whether it's work, school, shops, leisure, public transport, visiting your family, the virus will spread.

It's no ones fault, nearly everyone I know is following the rules and more, aside from the odd few who have never stuck to the rules and never will.

Even if this four weeks presses the reset button how can we open back up? Plus won't everyone just rush out to do their Christmas shopping, having Christmas drinks and see their family?

Plan is a return to tiers. Half expect most of England to start tier 3 and it be a gradual step down.

Online shopping for Christmas here

I predict it will be extended. The official line is they'll reassess and move areas back to tiers 1-3, but I honestly don't think that will happen.

I think tier 4 will be introduced and stay until the end of school term so another 3 weeks. They might allow non essential shops to reopen but not bars or restaurants in the run up to Christmas. I think they will try very hard to release lockdown for Christmas (so they get the daily mail pats) but for as short a time as possible - probably just a couple of days.

I doubt this will only be for 4 weeks. Hopefully it will reduce the numbers a bit but I’m almost certain it won’t be enough to open everything up again.

Probably another 12 weeks. It was pointed out last night that the 4 weeks are up just as we enter peak flu season (December-February). If the NHS isn't already protected to the point of obsolescence by then, we'll need to put it in bubble wrap and hide it in a cupboard to keep it safe.

Unfortunately I highly doubt it’s going to be over in 4 weeks

It’ll be extended. People that get ill in the next few days will be the ones in hospital in the next few weeks so I can’t see any great reduction in numbers in four weeks

An extension, or a return to even more heavily restricted tiers. Likely and extension until just before Christmas in the first instance.

Gove muttering about a 'review' in early December on TV this morning, so looks like we're totally up for annihilating massive chunks of the economy. At some point the twin realities of finite compliance and finite £££s to pay for all this will kick in, but in the meantime I guess we'll keep banging our head against a brick wall.

They’ll extend it.
Numbers of cases won’t have dropped significantly in a month with kids in school and students at uni.

Think it will be extended too 😟

Was just discussing with Dh, last time so much shit down. Things like McDonald's, Eastenders stopped filming, the local chip shop closed, some retailers were not even doing online orders. My in laws workplaces closed, they won't be this time, and they say there's little social distancing.

This time around those things won't close/stop. Of course school is a big one, even if they closed school again I think the amount of people claiming their key worker place would be so much more.

We need an effective vaccine. It's going to be the only way out.

4 weeks then opening back up in tiers....so the South will go back to normal as they already have low covid levels..

The North will go into tier 3 as their levels will still be very high, then the levels will climb again and the whole shit storm cycle starts again.

I’m afraid that as per usual they are not being honest.
And actually the NHS doesn’t cope in any winter (well really all year round), so shall we lockdown all year every year now?
This is nothing to do with “protecting” the NHS because this shower of incompetent greedy self serving bastards don’t give a shit about that.

Schools close early for Christmas, some shops reopen, return to tiers 2 and 3 except in areas with very low cases.

You are dead right to point out that there is no strategy now. I wish the govt would be more honest about this. We need a plan, especially since there is confusion over the vaccination plan, if it's going to be for everyone or only the over 50s.

@Ilikewinter the South West on the slides yesterday are very close to tipping over. I wouldn't be so sure about the South going back to normal

Christmas hols always spread flu to the vulnerable and the hospitals fill up around that time...so it will be another 4 weeks, then probably another 4 weeks until Spring at the very earliest. If people are allowed to go skiing politicians love a good ski, another wave in April.

More lockdown. Then loosening for Summer. If people are allowed to go to the Med politicians love a good sun, another wave in September.

The only question is what the word "lockdown" will be rebranded to next and how many more months of lockdown before the UK is insolvent and no longer able to find the NHS we are currently saving starving of tax revenue.

No tax = no NHS (and no schools).

It will end in Tears [groan]

When this lockdown was announced in France Macron said right from the beginning that it was for at least 4 weeks, so we knew from the start.

@LaChatte

I think Boris could have learned a lot from watching how Macron addressed the nation!

Yes and no. It will stop -slightly reduce as we've left it so late- the issue and not complete overhwelm the NHS. I think 4 weeks isn't enough but they need to keep morale up, so another 2 weeks extended. We will return to this 'rule of 6' for Christmas and may or may not impose travel restrictions. There will be heavy media advising against mixing. Tbh by then we will have lost a lot more people so hopefully people will get back to complying. Yes it'll be a shit one.

The next lockdown I reckon just before Feb half term.