To think we are all going to Get COVID-19 it’s just a matter of time

[MariahLynn]

Assuming you aren’t living like a hermit.

The UK is averaging 22,000 infections assuming this stays the same. There is 67 days until end of year. This is 1.4million infections.

Given that it is likely cases will grow. It is likely many millions will be infected.

Say infections stay the same and a vaccine isn’t available until 1st of March. This is 3 million.

This is all assuming cases don’t rise. Which they will and is not taking account of asymptomatic infection.

We might as well except the inevitable that we will likely contract covid and get on with our lives.

Live music alone is worth 1.1bn a year to the UK economy.

But hey - van drivers.

We have been taking precautions. Pulled our daughter from school - the school after a week had positive cases. We are homeschooling her. We are also working from home - luckily that's possible for us. Also, sticking to just outdoor activities and not meeting people. It's hard but we are trying to keep safe.
I think the government guidelines are bare minimum and some of it doesn't even make sense.

Yes I feel like this now, we’re really sensible & can work from home but It’s schools that are the weakest link in our family. Cases have increased week after week in my kids secondary and are spreading to parents & in the last couple of weeks teachers too. I feel it’s just a matter of time now which is horrible after been so careful.

I’m not sure. I’m not expecting to catch it if I’m honest as I live a very dull life. But I guess it might happen.

Didn’t I read they were counting one case multiple times? Are those case numbers even accurate?

No I don’t, because in previous pandemics there have always been some people who didn’t catch it, or it least didn’t show symptoms. Whether that’s because they never encountered it or because their immune system fought it off, we can’t know.

Plus, we are probably only a couple of months away from the start of rolling out a vaccine. Even if 15% of the population have already had it as you suggest, that still leaves 85% who haven’t. Enough of those are going to carry on being the right combination of careful and lucky to mean we are not all going to catch it.

@starfro

Most will get it at some point in the next few years. At the very least 10 million have had it so far in the UK, and it's probably nearer to 20 million.

Even with a vaccine a high proportion will contract it, just having slightly milder symptoms. It will be endemic.

I'd be surprised if almost a third of the population have had it already.

Not all, but many more will have had it than is known, and there seems to be no reason why that would change, especially because of the large numbers that are asymptomatic and because so many, including many non-menopausal women - as oestrogen is protective - won't even get to the antibody stage and instead fight it off via t-cells.

Most people will get it, even if there is a vaccine roll our will take months. Even once vaccine arrives significant chunk of population will go unvaccinated and even with a vaccine you may still catch a mild covid. Essentially it will merge with the common cold/flu viruses.

This arrived in the UK most likely in early January. I would suspect some London Boroughs are approaching 30% of people with antibodies.

I wouldn't be surprised if it were earlier. Wuhan is a massive major city, loads of people will have travelled from there to the UK in November and December 2019, and wasn't it in France by December?

The people catching covid are generally the ones ignoring the guidance. Most people are taking precautions, so far lower risk of catching it.

Not true.
I am CV so I was being super careful.

At work however I have close contact with 270 young children a week with no SDing and no masks, etc. I was taking so much care to clean everything, having every window open, doing what I could where I could. I restricted my social contacts and where I was happy to go. I ate my lunch alone in my room every day as I wasn't in a year bubble due to working across the whole school.

The only place I had close contact with anyone other than DH (and before she went to university, DD) is school and only with children.

I still caught it. It felt inevitable tbh. But it wasn't because I was shunning the guidelines and the undue risks.

@Aragog

The people catching covid are generally the ones ignoring the guidance. Most people are taking precautions, so far lower risk of catching it.

Not true.
I am CV so I was being super careful.

At work however I have close contact with 270 young children a week with no SDing and no masks, etc. I was taking so much care to clean everything, having every window open, doing what I could where I could. I restricted my social contacts and where I was happy to go. I ate my lunch alone in my room every day as I wasn't in a year bubble due to working across the whole school.

The only place I had close contact with anyone other than DH (and before she went to university, DD) is school and only with children.

I still caught it. It felt inevitable tbh. But it wasn't because I was shunning the guidelines and the undue risks.

I'm really sorry this has happened to you. I hope you make a full recovery.

We will no all get Covid. Even with the mass of cases in the States only 10% are estimated to have had it. Cases are down 50% in the city I live in. Lockdowns in Wales and Ireland should see cases drop. The biggest problem is the cases in England, and I'd blame BoJo for poor management.

Thanks BlueBlancmange. I'm getting there slowly.

A lot have already had it in March /April even before !!! I know quite a few in London

My dh currently has Covid. He hasn’t ignored the guidance. He’s a primary deputy head and we’re pretty sure he caught it at school as he hasn’t really been anywhere else or mixed with others (tier 3 area). How insensitive to suggest he got it because he ignored rules! He got it working so that children can go to school.

The people catching covid are generally the ones ignoring the guidance

Get stuffed, pal

Just because something is contagious doesn't mean everyone will catch it. I'm 42 and I've never had the flu despite not really doing much to prevent myself getting it or ever having the vaccine. And yes, I know covid isn't flu.

Before lock down I was extremely cautious and I think I had it. I was gelling hands, staying near open windows, not talking to people for long. Very mild though.

Kind of, I have it at the moment, feel grotty.
I hope I get some immunity (every cloud)
I think the teenagers are the current spreaders (senior schools) not their fault but they are passing it on to the adults (teachers and parents like me at an alarming rate) so yes, I think if you are interacting or living with that age, alas we're likely to contract it.

@BlanchflowerTulip

Just because something is contagious doesn't mean everyone will catch it. I'm 42 and I've never had the flu despite not really doing much to prevent myself getting it or ever having the vaccine. And yes, I know covid isn't flu.

You almost certainly have had the flu. Just like Covid, most are asymptomatic:

www.nhs.uk/news/medical-practice/three-quarters-of-people-with-flu-have-no-symptoms/

@MariahLynn

Most people will get it, even if there is a vaccine roll our will take months. Even once vaccine arrives significant chunk of population will go unvaccinated and even with a vaccine you may still catch a mild covid. Essentially it will merge with the common cold/flu viruses.

I agree - if it's so contagious to spread worldwide in months, it is a very plausible scenario.

@Badbadbunny

The people catching covid are generally the ones ignoring the guidance. Most people are taking precautions, so far lower risk of catching it.

At my son's Uni, they're back down to just 1 or 2 new cases per day. That's because the Uni have finally started enforcing the rules and the idiotic minority of students are being stopped from partying.

The 22k daily infections will quickly start to come down again once the latest restrictions come into force.

So when I catch it it can’t possibly be from the 150 students who I teach in poorly ventilated rooms that I can’t stay 2m from because classrooms are too small, it must be because I am “ignoring the guidance’. FFS.