Calculating Cases Per 100,000

[hardheadedwoman]

Hi

I am keeping an eye out for cases per 100k population for Cyprus as I would like to book a holiday soon.

I understand the magic number is to be under 20 cases per 100k.

Cyprus has a population of 1.18m and 342 current cases. By my calculations (divide by 11.8 to get cases per 100k) this comes out as 28.9 cases.

But other sources seem to have Cyprus as a much lower rate? This is a 14 day moving average so not comparable but has shown Cyprus as at 11-12 stably for some time. www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Please could someone more knowledgeable let me know what I’m doing wrong? Or if there is a better daily cases per 100k site I can use to check the status each day?

It's 7 days they're using for the 20 number. Cyprus has had 4, 3, 5, 2, 1, 4, 2 over the last 7 days. So 21 new cases out of 1.2m, well under.

I think the magic number is 20 cases per100,000 over the course of a week, @hardheadedwoman. I would use the source you have found but divide by 2 to get the approx weekly number. Obviously if the last week has shown a very dramatic increase in cases, this won’t give you the number the UK are looking at, but Cyprus is an incredibly long way off getting to the magic number at the moment! Also, the 14-day number is more fair, because it blunts the extremes, giving a more fair picture, which might help partly explain why England has not reacted in exactly the same way as Scotland and Wales on Portugal (yet!...).

Oh I see!
Fantastic - thank you both