Maybe autumn / winter won’t be as bad as expected?

[uka888]

When we were having the daily briefings from the government , the scientists were quite clear that it was probably going to be a tough autumn / winter and things wouldn’t be ‘normal’.

In recent weeks even though the cases are rising and there have been local lockdowns, some people are managing to get back to some kind of normality and wearing masks is becoming a bit more routine like... does anyone else think that this autumn / winter may not be as bad as we first imagined?

Is anyone doing anything to prepare for the next few months just in case?

@IceCreamAndCandyfloss

No I think it will get worse. Plenty have already abandoned SD, many refuse to wear masks (not genuine exceptions) and add to that schools going back, play dates and hobbies after school, cold weather meaning people meet up indoors etc, those who won’t self isolate when they should or quarantine after holidays. I can’t see any reason case numbers will remain low sadly.

Exactly this.

It's winter for god's sake.And we have opened the schools. The virus is going to ramp up big time.

I haven't read any expert opinions that aren't extremely apprehensive at best.

@Forgone90

At some point there will be a tipping point. To imagine that Covid won’t make a resurgence of get completely back to normal in winter, and stay that way, makes no sense given the levels of infections we’ve had.

Expecting a surge after VE Day and BLM marches or packed beaches is equivalent of going on a crash diet and then expecting to put on a stone after a eating a square of chocolate.

For numbers to rise significantly from their current level, large numbers of people need to abandon social distancing indoors, day after day.... and live just how life was before mid-March. Yet the number and closeness of social interactions for the average person remain well down on where we were, even as it creeps up, and more people do get back to something more like normal. At some point there will be a tipping point.