[quote epythymy]@BigChocFrenzy I'm not saying the pandemic didn't occur. I'm saying that a sizeable proportion of the deaths were people waiting to die anyway. We've not had a strong flu season for several years and so the people that a good flu season would have usually killed mid winter ended up dying in spring of coronavirus.
Also the OP is not 80 with several comorbidies and therefore her risk of dying is, what, 0.05%? Roughly. Perhaps less. [/quote]
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No, most were not going to die anyway
UK gov: Direct and Indirect Impacts of COVID-19 on Excess Deaths and Morbidity
(DHS , ONS, Govt actuary & HO)
Category A: Health impacts from contracting COVID-19
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/907616/s0650-direct-indirect-impacts-covid-19-excess-deaths-morbidity-sage-48.pdf
We estimate that from the 32,000 COVID-19 deaths registered between 21st March and 1st May,
25,000 were “excess deaths” in that they would not have occurred otherwise within 1-year
Under the COVID-19 Static Scenario (CSS),
it is estimated there would be an additional 53,000 COVID-19 deaths to March 2021,
42,000 of which would be “excess deaths”.
In total this equates to 530,000 lost Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs)
and 700,000 Years of Life Lost (YLL) over the 12 month period (21st March 2020 to 19th March 2021).
For people who contract COVID-19 and survive,
there are likely to be morbidity impacts particularly amongst those hospitalised and needing critical care, including cognitive, physical and mental health impairments.
We estimate these equate to 40,000 lost QALYs within 1-year.
The long-term health impacts are unknown.