Is there any point in identifying the source? I understand what you're saying but the amount of data to triangulate a moving source would be huge.
I know - I guess there’s no answer to such a complicated problem.
I just sorry for all the people who have told they can’t be close to family members, and possibly going back to the “bubble with one family member only” approach because apparently family contact is the biggest source of transmission.
I get that transmission rates are high amongst family contacts as that is who we generally spend most prolonged contact with, but the family member who gave the virus to the other must have caught it from somewhere.
If it was identified that pubs were a hot spot for transmission because a large volume of infected people say they were in a pub 10-14 days prior to the symptoms started, then it makes sense to close the pubs as opposed to ban people from seeing their family.
It was my understanding that the gradual release of lockdown was to identify what businesses/activities were a risk in terms of increasing infection rates and then act on that.....but how is this being monitored? How can anyone possibly know if the re-opening of pubs and restaurants is responsible for the now increasing rates if T&T aren’t asking people if they’ve been in one at a time when they may have picked up the virus in the first place?
I know it’s an impossible task I suppose, it just seems so short sighted to only identify the people who may be at risk over the last 48 hours, but not to try and identify if there is any like to where the virus may have been contracted.
On one hand people are saying it’s very unlikely you can pick up the virus in a pub, it’s all Covid-secure, tables spaced out, staff in visors etc etc, but on the other hand there is talk of closing pubs to enable schools to re-open, as though having a drink in a pub is going to impact on infection rates amongst pupils.
If pubs are not risky places to be in and they are not likely to be original places of infection then why do they need to close?
I assume it’s because anything that prevents a large number of people being together inside a venue, no matter how Covid secure it is, may help reduce transmission rates which is what’s important, but it just seems like there’s not much sense behind anything.
If pubs are deemed to be a risk factor in increasing transmission rates then they should be closed now, not in another months time.
Sometimes I feel like the actions/decision of the Government are carried out in order to make it look like they’re doing something, as opposed to actually doing something that’s actually going to make a difference.