What pct of the population do you think has died of COVID?

[Karenovirus]

I read some survey published today showed that people think 10pct of the population has died from COVID

https://www.kekstcnc.com/media/2793/kekstcncresearchhcovid-19opinionntracker_wave-4.pdf

It's a small survey admittedly. And maybe they carried it out with people live under rocks and only watch the BBC. But if people think numbers like this are remotely accurate, no wonder they're scared!

But anyway, what pct of the population do YOU think has died?

Was the point of this post not to highlight the fact that there are massive misconceptions on the death rate? I was unaware that it was an examination!!! (Gasps bemusedly!) ;-)

Looking at excess deaths - about 0.1% or about 65,000.

@Gwynfluff

Still not getting why Germany has had such a low death rate? Even allowing for population density correlation. Though, I know they are very fearful now of a second wave/surge.

Germany has a different strain of the virus, apart from anything else. They are also using disinfectant foot baths outside buildings and schools. I don't know why we are not. They also brought face masks in much earlier, including in schools. They are also abiding by social distancing rules far better than the UK

I think the moral of the story appears to be that numerical education in the G7 is shockingly poor. I’ve tried to find a flaw in their methodology so it doesn’t imply that most of the population is functionally innumerate but I haven’t found it yet.

Germany has a different strain of the virus

Is there any evidence that a Germany has a different strain, or at least one that is sufficiently different to have a significant on mortality?

@SmileTolerantly

Sugar, mosquito, you’re both right depending what you mean by “the period”. Cancer deaths are roughly a quarter of all normal UK deaths. At the peak of the epidemic Covid deaths were roughly doubling that so dwarfing the cancer deaths, but that was for quite a short period. Across the year to date (including January and February of course) Covid deaths are c10% of all deaths so around half of cancer deaths.

Interesting

They are also abiding by social distancing rules far better than the UK

I'm not so sure about that. They had to close down a bunch of stuff on Mallorca due to the behaviour of German chavs.

Probably 50%