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Anyone seen this - Indie link

3 replies

OldQueen1969 · 15/07/2020 00:38

www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/coronavirus-super-spreader-woman-lift-infections-china-heilongjiang-a9615886.html?fbclid=IwAR0Vji6x9_3ECoBG85PbpyEnZvvO2nKPwVVTYjD92JK5MDT5Fy-yE55fWLY

Thoughts please - am fairly sanguine about things, but would appreciate input from anyone who can accurately risk assess and comment on this alleged scenario - Ta x

OP posts:
MRex · 15/07/2020 09:09

A woman who had a negative test (well published that the best tests are~80% accurate and the Chinese tests bought by EU were much less accurate) may have left virus in a lift (more likely if she coughed or sneezed, many people cough for other reasons and might not realise it's anything) that one neighbour picked up using the lift (fomite risk is low, but going into an enclosed space that someone has breathed and coughed virus into, potentially minutes later, very possible; even more likely is that they were directly near each other and simply forgot). People then transmit covid-19 as normal in parties, at work, etc. We can't necessarily believe the Chinese government's explanations of events as fact, because they don't declare asymptomatic cases and are known to have hidden their symptomatic stats too, but the case is plausible. I don't know what's confusing or upsetting you about the facts presented?

MRex · 15/07/2020 09:11

It's actually incorrect to call her a superspreader by the way, super-spreaders are commonly those who actually passed the disease to many people by themselves; in bars / restaurants / offices. There has been detailed research on them because that's how R can get high. One person infecting one other as described is just the start of a new area of community transmission, rather than being a super-spreader.

MarcelineMissouri · 15/07/2020 09:17

This article really annoys me. I’d already seen the headline, and it just is deliberately designed to make you think that the virus hung around long enough to infect 71 people via the lift she used. When in fact one person got infected from this (maybe - they can’t say for sure) and then other people got infected via normal routes of close contact transmission. So really no different to anything we have already been told.

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