Blood Group A, 48, BMI 31. How likely to be very ill with Covid-19?

[PETRONELLAS]

If I get it.
Having some anxiety. Will I definitely get very ill?

No, you are at higher risk than some others but still a pretty low risk. You aren't even in the vulnerable group and even that group is unlikely to get seriously ill, just a slightly higher chance.

Not very but I would work on losing weight pdq

It's impossible to know who will get very ill .We currently have no Covid patients in ITU and less than 10 confirmed cases in the hospital.
Even if you get Covid this doesn't mean you will get very sick,we have discharged patients over 100.

You can get a vitamin D blood test (Thriva online if your GP hasn't done one recently). Boost your vitamin D level with supplements, sunshine and food. Drop weight - intermittent fasting 16:8 is good for women our age who are likely to be insulin sensitive. Make sure you fit in some cardio exercise and brisk walking each day. Then you know that you've done everything you can.

Now there's a gap in the health market, some clever person should get all the data and make a predictor website where you type in all your details and get a covid score.

But more seriously, you must know by know that it doesn't work like that. Concentrate on following the ways to minimise the chance of catching rather than worrying about unknowables

No

It doesn’t work like that. Nobody can tell you what will happen. You have some risk factors, and don’t have others.

Also the blood group thing was based on an absolutely tiny sample group. There doesn’t seem to be any substantial evidence about differences in blood groups yet.

Take high dose vitamin D, walk more, eat less blah blah. That’s what I’m trying to do. Most people will be fine, even those with underlying health conditions.

Thank you so much for replying. I know I’m disproportionately worrying but needed to air it.
Helpful and interesting.

As you're under 50 the chance is very low indeed.

The only factor you can have control over from your list is your BMI. Reducing your weight will improve your overall health regardless of whether you get Coronavirus or not.

You are aged under 50 so still in a low risk group for that. I don't think the blood group A issue has ever been backed up by anyone else and was just a tiny Chinese study. The Zoe Covid symptom tracker has just asked members for blood groups so I'm hoping some proper analysis on blood group and Coronavirus will come from them in due course. I'm blood group A too.

Same as you but slightly higher BMI. I was poorly for 4-5 days and then pretty much ok apart from EXTREME exhaustion and spiking a temperature every evening.

I was very, very scared that it would escalate though and that I would infect my family.

Thanks for the insights and practical advice. @AnnieCartwright hope you’re not still suffering too much.

V similar stats to you. Had the long-tail form, sick for 3 months and still not back to normal. Sickest I've ever been in my life but didnt need oxygen.

BMI 31 is all but irrelevant for risk. 41 would be bad

Same blood group, same BMI at time of infection, (lost 1/2 stone 1st week of being ill) 8 years older than you. I have had long covid and am still not entirely recovered, but wasn't hospitalized.

Your age is far more important than the factors you’ve mentioned. If you’re 50 and a normal BMI and O blood group, your chances of dying are significantly higher (though still very low) than if you’re 30 with a BMI of 31 and A blood group.

Also, risks regarding BMI only really kicks in if you’re morbidly obese (ie BMI above 40).

Sorry just noticed your age... 48 is still very low risk... significantly lower than if you were 60, which in turn is significantly lower than if you were 70 etc. Age really is the main risk factor.

I think rather than taking vitamin d, going on a strict diet etc you should look at managing your anxiety and finding nice enjoyable things to do to distant from the worry. It’s a terrifying time, but focussing excessively on potential risk factors will impact your health more. I hope you’re ok and not worrying too much

The blood group A thing worried me too as I am A-
The last study looked scary when it said we are 50% more likely to end up severely ill. However, when the risk is already tiny it barely registers e.g if my risk was 2% of ending up in hospital (just made that up) it would only rise to 3%. Another way of making statistics look scary. Also the difference between A and other blood groups was very small. Try not to worry!

No one really knows. You have no control over your age and blood group, but weight yes. Also, your diet and level of fitness. On the approach to covid we started eating better, and started more hill walking and bike rides. Even if it doesn't help Covid that much, has to be good for your health.

You need live your, but keeping in top of hygiene and social distancing outside will help.

I'm A blood group too, but there is bugger all you can do about your blood group! Much better to focus on the things you can affect, like weight management. Whoever you are, whatever your underlying issues, you're still much more likely to survive Covid than die of it, even to need hospitalisation, but it makes a lot of sense to get as healthy as you can. That means healthy weight, take regular exercise and if you're eating a balanced diet and getting outside in the sunshine that should be sufficient for Vit D unless you're clinically deficient.

www.google.com/amp/s/elemental.medium.com/amp/p/14249b05fda1

Here is a good article on why blood group unlikely to be a risk factor

You might be more at risk than someone younger and someone with a different blood group but dmil, 95, blood group A, with dementia and living in a nursing home tested positive for COVID.
They said she had a slight cough and was a little hot for a few days then it all cleared up.

OTOH friend has people they knew two were younger and with no underlying health conditions

You can look at statistics and make an educated guess but I think everyone is different.