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Possibly a stupid question re numbers of infected per ***

32 replies

Pinkshoe · 19/06/2020 22:26

Do we know how many people are infected per 1000 or any other number?

I thought I’d read somewhere a little while ago that it was around 1 in 400 people infected which seemed very small and it helped me to put my risk of becoming infected into perspective.

Do we know this number?

OP posts:
Derbygerbil · 20/06/2020 14:03

(1% is, by definition, 1 in a cent, a cent being 100)

LilyPond2 · 20/06/2020 14:06

@Cherryghost, sorry that should say 1 in 83, not 833!

Nonnymum · 20/06/2020 14:07

Those are infections in the community, so excluding hospitals and care homes. Though I can imagine they will be self isolating
The problem is some people don't know they have it but are still infectious. The ONS estimate there are around 4500 new infections a day in England. Not including hospitals and care homes

LilyPond2 · 20/06/2020 14:07

Thanks Derbygerbil. Cross-posted there.

MrsPerks · 20/06/2020 14:23

Puzzled linked to the Zoe app below. This shows a rate of 0.5 or 1:200 osymptomatic cases in my city. Presumably that's much higher when you add in non-symptomatic cases?

This suggests much larger numbers than the 1:1700 current ONS estimate for England. Anyone understand how much of that is likely to be about the averaging of rural and urban areas, and how much is the exclusion of care home and hospital infections?

ragged · 20/06/2020 18:32

4500 every day...

I'll spare you the math, but that works out to 1 in 1430 persons in my county who might be actively infectious if we have avg prevalence. Still pretty small prevalence.

Cherryghost · 20/06/2020 18:40

Lilypond 1 in 83 I didn't that it would be that high.

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