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Is Gloucestershire counted as south west or midlands?

20 replies

Realitea · 06/06/2020 13:11

I’m getting different answers here. Some say it’s south midlands and I always thought it was south west.
When I check the COVID app (ZOE) the rates of people with symptoms are low yet we’re being told the south west has an R of about 1-1.3. I can’t see why that doesn’t correlate with the covid app based on symptoms, which is spot on in every other area.

OP posts:
daisychicken · 06/06/2020 13:12

South West I always thought. Certainly South Gloucestershire where I am is South West.

HappyDinosaur · 06/06/2020 13:13

It's in the South West.

daisychicken · 06/06/2020 13:13

I wonder if the r value is still high due to the higher incidence of infection in Weston-super-Mare?

Spacie · 06/06/2020 13:17

In the regional statistics it's in the South West but the covid outbreak has been more similar to the counties to the immediate north and east (Worcestershire/Warwickshire/Oxfordshire). The regional figures aren't helpful here.

HappyDinosaur · 06/06/2020 13:17

I think it's more likely to do with the data being based on relatively small numbers in the SW, meaning that a small change can make a big difference in the R number. It's a bit like with percentages I think. So if there was a 50% increase in cases that seems huge, but if that's an increase from 4 people to 6 people it seems very low. It's all about different ways of presenting the data, something governments are usually very good at doing to show things more/less favourably, e.g. employment. That's just my thoughts though, I'm not an expert!

Matildatoldsuchdreadfullies · 06/06/2020 13:17

I grew up in North Gloucestershire, and our local news was midlands. Depends where you’re out are in Gloucestershire, really.

GreyishDays · 06/06/2020 13:19

Map on here www.gov.uk/government/organisations/public-health-england

Realitea · 06/06/2020 13:24

Thanks everyone. I’m sure it is south west. We pick up midlands tv though!

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CuriousaboutSamphire · 06/06/2020 14:11

We're Southwest but the news regions overlap us, we get Central most of the time.

If you see a map with West Midland on it, we get lumped in there too.

Bristol and the historical to ing and fro ing of south Gloucester, Avon etc didn't help either.

Moonflower12 · 06/06/2020 15:47

If it helps they said on the local Midlands news that there had been no Covid19 deaths reported in Gloucestershire for the last few days ( I think a week?) so that implies that it's not counted in the South West for this?
Gloucester is known as the Gateway to the South West.

billybagpuss · 06/06/2020 15:55

Definitely south west, as for tv, we used to get both, I remember Dad up a ladder twiddling the aerial because he wanted HTV and they’d increased the signal on the midlands mast so he was getting the wrong news.

CuriousaboutSamphire · 06/06/2020 16:02

Moonflower that was hospital based deaths I think. And we are definitely Southwest not the Midlands. Honest!

poppy1973 · 06/06/2020 16:07

Yes, it's South West. Herefordshire then falls into West Midlands. The rates are high in Somerset which is why schools haven't opened and why the Weston hospital closed.

1forsorrow · 06/06/2020 16:11

The South West is a big area, I live in Devon and I'm not sure that what is going on in Gloucestershire or Wiltshire will reflect what is happening down here.

PineappleUpsideDownCake · 06/06/2020 16:14

I didnt realise it was as far as Gloucestershire. I imagine devon, dorset, cornwall, so.erset

Realitea · 06/06/2020 16:23

I’m hearing a lot about Somerset having a cluster of cases at the moment but when I look on the covid symptom app, it still looks low. Maybe they’re just not using the app.

OP posts:
CuriousaboutSamphire · 06/06/2020 16:25

The incidence rate here is so low that a cluster, like the Weston hospital, could quadruple the incidence rate, increase R to 1+ and still be in single figures.

Which is pretty much what did happen, statistically.

CuriousaboutSamphire · 06/06/2020 16:27

Which is another reason not to believe any App will be more or less useful than any other track and trace or monitoring system.

trappedsincesundaymorn · 06/06/2020 16:44

@poppy1973

Yes, it's South West. Herefordshire then falls into West Midlands. The rates are high in Somerset which is why schools haven't opened and why the Weston hospital closed.
Erm I'm in Somerset and our local schools are open.
ifonly4 · 06/06/2020 17:04

If there's going to be regional lockdowns, that's going to be so bad for those in North Glos where cases are coming down and there's been no deaths in the last few days. Somerset is a fair distance down the motorway, Westin approx 100 mins. Also people there are far more likely to go for a walk on their doorstep with Cleeve Hill/Cotswolds rather than travel down south.

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