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When can you see the pandemic declared over?

19 replies

fourpeasinapod · 06/05/2020 21:54

The H1N1 swine flu pandemic of 2009/10 started in early 2009 and wasn’t declared officially over until August 2010. That one lasted for just over a year.

When can you see the WHO declaring covid 19 officially over? Obviously it’ll be a long while yet unfortunately.

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Dowser · 06/05/2020 22:57

Now

nolovelost · 07/05/2020 08:17

I reckon it could be as late as 2022

SudokuBook · 07/05/2020 08:19

No idea.

Theworldisfullofgs · 07/05/2020 08:19

A couple of years

CurlyEndive · 07/05/2020 08:21

Mid-2021 is my guess. Until then we have to live with it.

SudokuBook · 07/05/2020 08:21

Although if I had to guess maybe in the latter half of 2021.

Meckity1 · 07/05/2020 08:22

The crisis could possibly be over in a few years, once a vaccine has been developed and the world population has had full access to it. But I don't think we will ever lose the Covid 19 virus now. I think it will be coming as a regular illness in the winter, like flu, and we will learn to live with it.

Wallywobbles · 07/05/2020 08:23

2022 or when there's an effective vaccine.

SudokuBook · 07/05/2020 08:24

The crisis could possibly be over in a few years, once a vaccine has been developed and the world population has had full access to it. But I don't think we will ever lose the Covid 19 virus now. I think it will be coming as a regular illness in the winter, like flu, and we will learn to live with it.

I think so too, hopefully though it won’t always be this devastating.

helpfulperson · 07/05/2020 08:31

I dont think the aids pandemic has been declared over yet and that's 35 years.

CloudsCanLookLikeSheep · 07/05/2020 08:37

Mid-Late 2021 by the time they roll out a vaccine. Economic calamity for the next couple of years.

Waxonwaxoff0 · 07/05/2020 08:40

Until there's a vaccine most likely. A year to 18 months.

Enb76 · 07/05/2020 08:43

Never - I think this is something we’re just going to have to live with and some of us will die from it but most of us won’t.

iVampire · 07/05/2020 08:48

When either
a) an effective vaccine has been administered to at least 60% of the population of every country
b) when, if there is no vaccine, enough people have had it to remove the risk of further peaks in every country

(Herd immunity, one way or the other)

fourpeasinapod · 07/05/2020 10:33

@Enb76 it won’t be a pandemic forever. It’ll come to an end.

H1N1 is part of seasonal flu and it isn’t a pandemic anymore. Yes covid 19 will probably become part of daily life, but it’ll not be a pandemic forever. It’ll calm down

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Enb76 · 07/05/2020 10:43

it’ll not be a pandemic forever

True - not pandemic but endemic like HIV. But for it to become endemic, it has to spread within the population and with places like NZ totally shut down it's likely that it will remain a pandemic for a lot longer than 2 years as those countries fight to keep it out. It will be interesting to see what happens to those who have successfully contained Covid-19 once other populations have come through the main mortality peaks.

VettiyaIruken · 07/05/2020 10:45

Not this year.
When there's a vaccine it'll become a seasonal thing I expect.

Sparklingbrook · 07/05/2020 10:46

Some time next year I think.

fourpeasinapod · 07/05/2020 10:58

Yes I would like to think it’ll be mid to late next year that this will be over.

It’ll still be part of life, as the common cold is. But hopefully by then it’ll have been contained and won’t be as much of a threat to people as it is now

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