Those graphs they produce are potentially very flawed. And they know it. Because if as is now largely certain the virus started circulating here from late December and certainly in January, then presumably there will also have been a corresponding rise in hospital admissions and deaths that were due to the virus, but we have no way of charting that retrospectively and nobody was tested, so presumably the cases were recorded as seasonal flu and other causes.
So basically the rise in their grabs pretty much shows us the rise in awareness by testing, and the actual levels of infection and death may already have been up there or higher.
I was thinking it's weird how I literally know of nobody and have heard of nobody who's had it, got it, been I'll, been in hospital, died of it. If it's such a virulent pandemic, you'd think in a city of international professionals and students, that we'd all know somebody.
And then I thought ... hang bloody on here ... 7 Jan I knew an international student who came back from Austria and was so ill with temp, exhaustion, sore throat and cough that the doctor was called. On the dot of seven days, all symptoms went. And a late teenager I know who, a week later, had the same. Again a frightening temperature and doctor called. And this went through her friends too. And then my daughter had a milder version (she's younger), also seven days.
And all in Jan/early Feb.
We won't know until the antibody serum test is up and running.
So yes, the graphs are bollocks, for a lot of reasons.