If I understood correctly the "squashing the sombrero" model or theory meant that the amount of deaths (because the area underneath is the same?) would likely be the same but spread out over a longer timeframe to enable the nhs to cope.
There are reports of covid-19 being around for 18 months to 2 years and forms of social distancing lasting until the end of the year.
I'm not a scientist or mathematician to any degree but wondering if any of the models allow for 2 (or more) smaller peaks but over a shorter timeframe...or whether that would mean more deaths in the long run....or greater damage to the economy? (I've got no idea if the area under the curve would be the same)