Largest daily rise of infections comes exactly 2 weeks after Mothers Day

[TiredofSM]

No surprise there then. Such a shame.
So glad I followed advice and stayed at home.
Will be another 7 days or so until we see the resulting death toll.
I for one hope they do ban daily exercise and take away people’s ability to ‘interpret’ the guidance.

YANBU

Banning daily exercise is a terrible idea for the nation’s mental health.

Why would anyone want more restrictions?? People are already killing themselves over this. Why would you be hoping for people who are already desperate to be forced into spending every minute of every day in their homes?

Remember, Mother’s Day was before the lockdown. we are still expecting the rate of infection to rise until there has been time for the lockdown to take effect.

It might have been before Lockdown, but We were supposed to socially distance, obviously lots of people didn’t

Actually today's figures are for 15 days ago.

The data from two weeks after mothers day will be released tomorrow.

Lots of people didn't social distance because our PM didn't give people a clear message.

I am tired of experts....

Also more people are being tested now so the infected number will increase due to that too.

They aren't banning exercise, they are considering removing it as justification for leaving your home.

It is possible to exercise indoors, in very limited space.

Wow.

@AlmostThereKeepMoving yes, you’re right. Dreading tomorrow’s figures then.
@BurgerQuean
We were supposed to be socially distancing on Mother’s Day. I cancelled plans to have a meal with MIL because of it.
I really want tighter restrictions because the sooner they flatten the curve the sooner we can get back to normal.
The whole time people are out sunbathing and queuing for ice creams we will see the curve continue to climb.

But you’re judging the effectiveness of the current regulations on the basis of things that occurred before they came into force. It makes absolutely no sense. And yet you consider it justification for further restrictions...?

@LittleLittleLittle we were told to be socially distant six days before Mother’s Day.

I would love to know how many people were infected at Cheltenham, Crufts and other big events that were allowed to go ahead

And what was it Boris said? Oh yes, that he was hoping to visit his mother that week for mothers day. And when was it he changed that to say he wasn't going to visit his mother after all? (On actual mother's day I seem to remember, but it might have been the day before)

I checked. It was the Saturday evening.

It's a type of gaslighting in my opinion.

@BackInTime that was the "herd immunity" model before the PM and cabinet panicked and realised this wasn't going to be like SARS and swine flu.

Sunbathing doesn't cause coronavirus.

They tested more people today than any other day ever, if they tested 10x as many a week ago then that would be the most positive.

Viruses exhibit er viral growth so they are expected to show more cases than the day before every day.

That said the testing doesn't tell us that much unless it's random (it's not), since if they are testing everyone in hospital and the number of people in hospital increases faster than testing then over time more and more of the test results will simply be the people in hospital, without necessarily a growth in infections.

Until their is random testing then none of the figures are that reliable. Deaths not great because they lag and daily deaths less reliable than ONS deaths which lag still further.

In any case it doesn't take two weeks from exposure to infection, so your link to Mothers day is ridiculously spurious since you have literally no knowledge about the characteristics of those being tested (e.g. in ICU which was be longer from infection than merely first dymptoms) and the mean lag between testing and publication in daily statistics, so the two week delay is arbitrary.

Apart from that, yes confirmation bias is fascinating.